Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 9 analysts23.9% Above Target
STRL trades 23.9% above Wall Street's consensus target of $656.20.
Current Price$861.88
Average Target$656.20
Target
Current
Low$413.00
Median$510.00
High$950.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E45.6x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio1.03
(Fair)
Implied Growth+69.2%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread81.8%
(Wide Disagreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes STRL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 45.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
STRL Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $656.20, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $861.88, this represents a potential downside of -23.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $26.44B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $413.00 to a high of $950.00, representing a 82% spread in expectations. The median target of $510.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, STRL trades at a trailing P/E of 91.9x and forward P/E of 45.6x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.03 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +69.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $582.42, with bear and bull scenarios of $366.93 and $767.40 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+10.9%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
29.8x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PRIMPrimoris Services Corporation | $5.5B | $101.30 | $152.78 | +50.8% | Buy | 20.9x | 24 |
 ROADConstruction Partners, Inc. | $6.9B | $122.78 | $142.25 | +15.9% | Buy | 40.8x | 9 |
 MYRGMYR Group Inc. | $7.2B | $461.10 | $412.67 | -10.5% | Hold | 40.3x | 21 |
 IESCIES Holdings, Inc. | $14.2B | $712.39 | $458.00 | -35.7% | Hold | 36.2x | 1 |
 WLDNWilldan Group, Inc. | $1.3B | $89.00 | $117.50 | +32.0% | Buy | 21.6x | 7 |
 GLDDGreat Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation | $1.1B | $17.00 | — | — | Buy | 15.4x | 7 |
 PWRQuanta Services, Inc. | $105.4B | $702.25 | $674.27 | -4.0% | Buy | 50.2x | 36 |
 MTZMasTec, Inc. | $29.9B | $379.66 | $416.73 | +9.8% | Buy | 43.0x | 36 |
 TTEKTetra Tech, Inc. | $7.1B | $27.36 | $35.00 | +27.9% | Hold | 17.7x | 26 |
 APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc. | $888M | $41.27 | $46.00 | +11.5% | Hold | 12.0x | 6 |
STRL — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying STRL stock.
What is the STRL stock price target for 2026?
STRL's consensus price target is $656.2, -23.9% below the current price of $861.88. The 9 analysts tracking STRL see downside risk at present valuations.
Is STRL a buy, sell, or hold?
STRL has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $656.2 implies -23.9% downside from current levels.
Is STRL stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 45.618x, STRL trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $656.2 (-23.9% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
How high can STRL stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $950 for STRL, while the most conservative target is $413. The consensus of $656.2 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $767 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover STRL stock?
STRL is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the STRL stock forecast?
The 12-month STRL stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $656.2, with estimates ranging from $413 (bear case) to $950 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $582, with bear/bull scenarios of $367/$767.
What is STRL's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates STRL's fair value at $582 (base case), with a bear case of $367 and bull case of $767. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
What is STRL's forward P/E ratio?
STRL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 45.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 91.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy STRL stock?
Analysts are cautious on STRL, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $656.2 (-23.9% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do STRL price targets vary so much?
STRL analyst price targets range from $413 to $950, a 82% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $656.2 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $367-$767 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
Full Stock Analysis
Deep dive into STRL consensus models and risk factors.
View Analysis
Intrinsic Valuation
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
Check Valuation
Historical Returns
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
Calculate
DCA Calculator
See how regular investing compounds over time.
Run Numbers
Peer Comparison
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.
Compare