Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 21 analysts15.7% Below Target
STWD trades 15.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $19.33.
Current Price$16.70
Average Target$19.33
Target
Current
Low$19.00
Median$19.00
High$20.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E9.7x
(Value)
PEG Ratio9.58
(Expensive)
Implied Growth+65.2%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread5.2%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes STWD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 21 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
STWD Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $19.33, based on estimates from 21 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $16.70, this represents a potential upside of +15.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $6.19B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $19.00 to a high of $20.00, representing a 5% spread in expectations. The median target of $19.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 16 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, STWD trades at a trailing P/E of 13.7x and forward P/E of 9.7x. The forward PEG ratio of 9.58 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +65.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $12.65, with bear and bull scenarios of $7.97 and $16.67 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+30.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
14.3x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BXMTBlackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $3.1B | $18.09 | $21.00 | +16.1% | Hold | 12.4x | 18 |
 RCReady Capital Corporation | $289M | $1.75 | $2.50 | +42.9% | Buy | — | 16 |
 ARIApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $1.4B | $10.83 | $12.00 | +10.8% | Hold | 16.3x | 12 |
 KREFKKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | $454M | $7.06 | $7.00 | -0.8% | Buy | — | 12 |
 TRTXTPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. | $665M | $8.60 | $10.00 | +16.3% | Buy | 8.2x | 11 |
 GPMTGranite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. | $63M | $1.32 | $2.50 | +89.4% | Hold | — | 12 |
 BRSPBrightSpire Capital, Inc. | $722M | $5.54 | $6.00 | +8.3% | Buy | 9.0x | 8 |
 LADRLadder Capital Corp | $1.3B | $10.20 | $13.00 | +27.5% | Buy | 10.2x | 17 |
 ACREAres Commercial Real Estate Corporation | $256M | $4.62 | $5.25 | +13.6% | Buy | 35.6x | 13 |
 FBRTFranklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. | $649M | $8.43 | $15.33 | +81.9% | Buy | 8.5x | 4 |
STWD — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying STWD stock.
What is the STWD stock price target for 2026?
Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) has a consensus 12-month price target of $19.33, implying 15.7% upside from $16.7. The 21 analysts covering STWD see moderate appreciation potential.
Is STWD a buy, sell, or hold?
STWD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 21 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 16 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $19.33 implies 15.7% upside from current levels.
Is STWD stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 9.7076x, STWD trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $19.33 implies 15.7% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can STWD stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $20 for STWD, while the most conservative target is $19. The consensus of $19.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $17 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover STWD stock?
STWD is well covered by analysts, with 21 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 15 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the STWD stock forecast?
The 12-month STWD stock forecast based on 21 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $19.33, with estimates ranging from $19 (bear case) to $20 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $13, with bear/bull scenarios of $8/$17.
What is STWD's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates STWD's fair value at $13 (base case), with a bear case of $8 and bull case of $17. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.
What is STWD's forward P/E ratio?
STWD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy STWD stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on STWD, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $19.33 price target (15.7% upside). 16 of 21 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do STWD price targets vary so much?
STWD analyst price targets range from $19 to $20, a 5% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $19.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $8-$17 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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