BRSP trades 48.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $6.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes BRSP achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 7.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $6.00, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $4.05, this represents a potential upside of +48.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $512M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $6.00 to a high of $6.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $6.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, BRSP trades at a trailing P/E of -15.6x and forward P/E of 7.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +370.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $0.93, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.58 and $1.22 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ACREAres Commercial Real Estate Corporation | $234M | $4.22 | $5.50 | +30.3% | Hold | 19.6x | 14 |
 TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $200M | $4.92 | $5.00 | +1.6% | Hold | 5.5x | 12 |
 RCReady Capital Corporation | $241M | $1.46 | $2.00 | +37.0% | Buy | — | 16 |
 GPMTGranite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. | $40M | $0.84 | $2.50 | +198.7% | Hold | — | 12 |
 BXMTBlackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $2.1B | $12.57 | $19.50 | +55.1% | Hold | 12.1x | 18 |
 KREFKKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | $390M | $6.06 | $8.25 | +36.1% | Buy | — | 12 |
 TRTXTPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. | $524M | $6.82 | $11.38 | +66.9% | Buy | 6.8x | 11 |
 ARIApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $820M | $6.26 | $12.00 | +91.7% | Hold | 13.6x | 13 |
 LADRLadder Capital Corp | $1.2B | $9.07 | $10.25 | +13.0% | Buy | 9.0x | 17 |
 FBRTFranklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. | $620M | $7.46 | $15.33 | +105.5% | Buy | 8.6x | 4 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BRSP stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for BRSP is $6, representing 48.1% upside from the current price of $4.05. With 8 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
BRSP has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $6 implies 48.1% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 7.0693x, BRSP trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $6 implies 48.1% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $6 for BRSP, while the most conservative target is $6. The consensus of $6 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
BRSP is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month BRSP stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $6, with estimates ranging from $6 (bear case) to $6 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1, with bear/bull scenarios of $1/$1.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BRSP's fair value at $1 (base case), with a bear case of $1 and bull case of $1. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
BRSP trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on BRSP, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $6 price target (48.1% upside). 5 of 8 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BRSP analyst price targets range from $6 to $6, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $6 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1-$1 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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