BRSP trades 34.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $4.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes BRSP achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 6.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $4.50, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $3.34, this represents a potential upside of +34.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $423M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $4.00 to a high of $5.00, representing a 22% spread in expectations. The median target of $4.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, BRSP trades at a trailing P/E of 21.5x and forward P/E of 6.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +240.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $0.93, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.58 and $1.22 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ACREAres Commercial Real Estate Corporation | $203M | $3.65 | $5.50 | +50.7% | Hold | 14.5x | 14 |
 TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $177M | $4.37 | $5.00 | +14.4% | Hold | 5.1x | 12 |
 RCReady Capital Corporation | $141M | $0.85 | $1.63 | +91.4% | Buy | — | 16 |
 GPMTGranite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. | $16M | $3.34 | $2.50 | -25.1% | Hold | — | 12 |
 BXMTBlackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $1.9B | $11.16 | $19.50 | +74.7% | Hold | 9.9x | 18 |
 KREFKKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | $364M | $5.66 | $9.50 | +67.8% | Buy | — | 12 |
 TRTXTPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. | $518M | $6.75 | $8.00 | +18.5% | Buy | 7.5x | 11 |
 ARIApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $304M | $2.32 | $12.00 | +417.2% | Hold | — | 13 |
 LADRLadder Capital Corp | $1.1B | $8.91 | $10.25 | +15.0% | Buy | 8.5x | 17 |
 FBRTFranklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. | $515M | $6.20 | $10.00 | +61.3% | Buy | 10.2x | 7 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BRSP stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for BRSP is $4.5, representing 34.7% upside from the current price of $3.34. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
BRSP has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 6 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $4.5 implies 34.7% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 6.3186x, BRSP trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $4.5 implies 34.7% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $5 for BRSP, while the most conservative target is $4. The consensus of $4.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
BRSP is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month BRSP stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $4.5, with estimates ranging from $4 (bear case) to $5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1, with bear/bull scenarios of $1/$1.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BRSP's fair value at $1 (base case), with a bear case of $1 and bull case of $1. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
BRSP trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on BRSP, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $4.5 price target (34.7% upside). 6 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BRSP analyst price targets range from $4 to $5, a 22% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $4.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1-$1 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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