TSEM trades 25.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $302.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes TSEM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 61.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 14 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $302.00, based on estimates from 14 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $240.81, this represents a potential upside of +25.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $27.17B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $270.00 to a high of $330.00, representing a 20% spread in expectations. The median target of $300.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, TSEM trades at a trailing P/E of 124.1x and forward P/E of 61.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 3.00 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +53.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $127.45, with bear and bull scenarios of $80.29 and $167.93 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | $27.5B | $50.17 | $82.08 | +63.6% | Buy | 25.9x | 19 |
 UMCUnited Microelectronics Corporation | $65.5B | $26.27 | $10.20 | -61.2% | Hold | 0.7x | 15 |
 INTCIntel Corp. | $601.9B | $119.33 | $110.97 | -7.0% | Hold | 77.7x | 85 |
 ONON Semiconductor Corporation | $33.0B | $84.89 | $99.50 | +17.2% | Buy | 26.5x | 47 |
 WOLFWolfspeed Inc. | $18.3B | $35.28 | $54.32 | +54.0% | Hold | — | 19 |
 SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc. | $12.8B | $85.03 | $71.75 | -15.6% | Buy | 16.9x | 60 |
 QRVOQorvo, Inc. | $10.1B | $114.17 | $94.00 | -17.7% | Hold | 17.5x | 42 |
 AMATApplied Materials, Inc. | $428.8B | $540.04 | $662.87 | +22.7% | Buy | 42.2x | 55 |
 LRCXLam Research Corporation | $434.6B | $347.49 | $376.68 | +8.4% | Buy | 36.7x | 50 |
 KLACKLA Corporation | $270.3B | $206.89 | $225.50 | +9.0% | Buy | 37.6x | 44 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TSEM stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for TSEM is $302, representing 25.4% upside from the current price of $240.81. With 14 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
TSEM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 14 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 10 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $302 implies 25.4% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 61.8683x, TSEM trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $302 (25.4% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $330 for TSEM, while the most conservative target is $270. The consensus of $302 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $168 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
TSEM is moderately covered, with 14 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month TSEM stock forecast based on 14 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $302, with estimates ranging from $270 (bear case) to $330 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $127, with bear/bull scenarios of $80/$168.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TSEM's fair value at $127 (base case), with a bear case of $80 and bull case of $168. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
TSEM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 61.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 124.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on TSEM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $302 price target (25.4% upside). 10 of 14 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TSEM analyst price targets range from $270 to $330, a 20% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $302 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $80-$168 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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