57.6% Above Target

UMC's consensus price target is $10.2, -57.6% below the current price of $24.08. The 15 analysts tracking UMC see downside risk at present valuations.

UMC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 8 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $10.2 implies -57.6% downside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 1.0279x, UMC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $10.2 implies -57.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10.2 for UMC, while the most conservative target is $10.2. The consensus of $10.2 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1379 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

UMC is well covered by analysts, with 15 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month UMC stock forecast based on 15 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10.2, with estimates ranging from $10.2 (bear case) to $10.2 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1046, with bear/bull scenarios of $659/$1379.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates UMC's fair value at $1046 (base case), with a bear case of $659 and bull case of $1379. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.

UMC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 45.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on UMC, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $10.2 (-57.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

UMC analyst price targets range from $10.2 to $10.2, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10.2 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $659-$1379 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.