Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$289.44
Price Target
$253.71
Target Range
$175.00 — $325.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E38.3x
Trailing P/E53.1x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+28.6%
Median Target$260.00
Analyst Spread59.1%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$175
-39.5%
Consensus
$254
-12.3%
Bull Case
$325
+12.3%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 64/100
Bear$228
Base$419
Bull$638
TXN Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $253.71, based on estimates from 65 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $289.44, this represents a potential downside of -12.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $263.52B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $175.00 to a high of $325.00, representing a 59% spread in expectations. The median target of $260.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 30 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,28 rating it Hold, and 7 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, TXN trades at a trailing P/E of 53.1x and forward P/E of 38.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +28.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $418.80, with bear and bull scenarios of $227.50 and $637.60 respectively. Model confidence stands at 64/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside-13.6%
Avg Forward P/E44.2x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ADIAnalog Devices, Inc. | $202.9B | $415.66 | $374.42 | -9.9% | Buy | 36.4x | 54 |
 MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated | $55.7B | $102.97 | $87.00 | -15.5% | Buy | 65.7x | 46 |
 STMSTMicroelectronics N.V. | $51.5B | $57.95 | $57.50 | -0.8% | Buy | 48.9x | 29 |
 NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V. | $76.7B | $303.63 | $242.60 | -20.1% | Buy | 20.7x | 46 |
 ONON Semiconductor Corporation | $41.5B | $105.77 | $62.40 | -41.0% | Buy | 36.1x | 45 |
 SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc. | $9.8B | $64.97 | $62.75 | -3.4% | Buy | 13.8x | 59 |
 QRVOQorvo, Inc. | $8.2B | $88.94 | $85.29 | -4.1% | Hold | 13.7x | 42 |
 MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. | $81.2B | $1652.35 | $1615.00 | -2.3% | Buy | 76.7x | 25 |
 DIODDiodes Incorporated | $5.3B | $116.05 | $74.00 | -36.2% | Buy | 50.0x | 13 |
 SLABSilicon Laboratories Inc. | $7.1B | $216.54 | $211.60 | -2.3% | Buy | 80.0x | 37 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonTXN — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TXN stock.
What is the TXN stock price target for 2026?
TXN's consensus price target is $253.71, -12.3% below the current price of $289.44. The 65 analysts tracking TXN see downside risk at present valuations.
Is TXN a buy, sell, or hold?
TXN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 65 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 28 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $253.71 implies -12.3% downside from current levels.
Is TXN stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 38.3156x, TXN trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $253.71 (-12.3% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
How high can TXN stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $325 for TXN, while the most conservative target is $175. The consensus of $253.71 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $638 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TXN stock?
TXN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 65 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 30 have Buy ratings, 28 recommend Hold, and 7 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TXN stock forecast?
The 12-month TXN stock forecast based on 65 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $253.71, with estimates ranging from $175 (bear case) to $325 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $419, with bear/bull scenarios of $228/$638.
What is TXN's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TXN's fair value at $419 (base case), with a bear case of $228 and bull case of $638. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 64/100.
What is TXN's forward P/E ratio?
TXN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 38.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 53.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TXN stock?
Analysts are cautious on TXN, with 7 Sell ratings and a price target of $253.71 (-12.3% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TXN price targets vary so much?
TXN analyst price targets range from $175 to $325, a 59% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $253.71 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $228-$638 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.