15.1% Above Target

TXN's consensus price target is $274.06, -15.1% below the current price of $322.86. The 65 analysts tracking TXN see downside risk at present valuations.

TXN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 65 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 27 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $274.06 implies -15.1% downside from current levels.

At a forward P/E of 41.8885x, TXN trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $274.06 (-15.1% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $400 for TXN, while the most conservative target is $175. The consensus of $274.06 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $502 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

TXN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 65 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 31 have Buy ratings, 27 recommend Hold, and 7 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month TXN stock forecast based on 65 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $274.06, with estimates ranging from $175 (bear case) to $400 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $381, with bear/bull scenarios of $240/$502.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TXN's fair value at $381 (base case), with a bear case of $240 and bull case of $502. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 58/100.

TXN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 41.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 59.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on TXN, with 7 Sell ratings and a price target of $274.06 (-15.1% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

TXN analyst price targets range from $175 to $400, a 82% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $274.06 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $240-$502 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.