Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of May 6, 2026, Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $78.00, based on estimates from 13 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $81.26, this represents a potential downside of -4.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.17B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $74.00 to a high of $84.00, representing a 13% spread in expectations. The median target of $76.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, VCTR trades at a trailing P/E of 18.6x and forward P/E of 11.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.42 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +109.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $102.47, with bear and bull scenarios of $18.90 and $182.60 respectively. Model confidence stands at 38/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
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Wall Street's consensus price target for VCTR is $78, -4.0% from its current price of $81.26. The below-market target from 13 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
VCTR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $78 implies -4.0% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 11.8836x, VCTR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $78 implies -4.0% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $84 for VCTR, while the most conservative target is $74. The consensus of $78 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $183 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
VCTR is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month VCTR stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $78, with estimates ranging from $74 (bear case) to $84 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $102, with bear/bull scenarios of $19/$183.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates VCTR's fair value at $102 (base case), with a bear case of $19 and bull case of $183. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 38/100.
VCTR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 18.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on VCTR, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $78 (-4.0% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
VCTR analyst price targets range from $74 to $84, a 13% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $78 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $19-$183 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.