Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of May 6, 2026, Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $236.50, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $167.66, this represents a potential upside of +41.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $6.38B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $193.00 to a high of $280.00, representing a 37% spread in expectations. The median target of $236.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, MORN trades at a trailing P/E of 18.9x and forward P/E of 14.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.24 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +16.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $203.41, with bear and bull scenarios of $83.87 and $269.09 respectively. Model confidence stands at 69/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
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The consensus Wall Street price target for MORN is $236.5, representing 41.1% upside from the current price of $167.66. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
MORN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $236.5 implies 41.1% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 14.0927x, MORN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $236.5 implies 41.1% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $280 for MORN, while the most conservative target is $193. The consensus of $236.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $269 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MORN is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MORN stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $236.5, with estimates ranging from $193 (bear case) to $280 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $203, with bear/bull scenarios of $84/$269.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MORN's fair value at $203 (base case), with a bear case of $84 and bull case of $269. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 69/100.
MORN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 18.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MORN, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $236.5 price target (41.1% upside). 2 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MORN analyst price targets range from $193 to $280, a 37% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $236.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $84-$269 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.