Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$8.92
Price Target
$11.67
Target Range
$8.00 — $14.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E1.9x
Trailing P/E20.6x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+15.1%
Median Target$13.00
Analyst Spread51.4%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$8
-10.3%
Consensus
$12
+30.8%
Bull Case
$14
+57.0%
YMM Price Target Analysis
Updated May 8, 2026As of May 8, 2026, Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $11.67, based on estimates from 3 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $8.92, this represents a potential upside of +30.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $19.02B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $8.00 to a high of $14.00, representing a 51% spread in expectations. The median target of $13.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, YMM trades at a trailing P/E of 20.6x and forward P/E of 1.9x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +15.1% over the next year.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+31.4%
Avg Forward P/E47.0x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UBERUber Technologies, Inc. | $157.9B | $76.73 | $104.88 | +36.7% | Buy | 22.8x | 61 |
 LYFTLyft, Inc. | $5.5B | $14.16 | $19.21 | +35.7% | Hold | 23.8x | 59 |
 GRABGrab Holdings Limited | $15.1B | $3.79 | $6.70 | +76.8% | Buy | 34.6x | 12 |
 LASRnLIGHT, Inc. | $3.7B | $66.19 | $63.80 | -3.6% | Buy | 207.6x | 13 |
 CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $20.3B | $171.37 | $187.38 | +9.3% | Hold | 27.9x | 46 |
 FWRDForward Air Corporation | $547M | $17.33 | $37.00 | +113.5% | Hold | — | 21 |
 XPOXPO Logistics, Inc. | $24.3B | $206.81 | $209.07 | +1.1% | Buy | 43.9x | 32 |
 GLBEGlobal-e Online Ltd. | $5.5B | $32.63 | $43.40 | +33.0% | Buy | 29.2x | 14 |
 UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | $85.1B | $100.10 | $115.23 | +15.1% | Hold | 14.1x | 45 |
 FDXFedEx Corporation | $88.4B | $375.93 | $364.19 | -3.1% | Buy | 19.0x | 49 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonYMM — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying YMM stock.
What is the YMM stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for YMM is $11.67, representing 30.8% upside from the current price of $8.92. With 3 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is YMM a buy, sell, or hold?
YMM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 3 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 1 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $11.67 implies 30.8% upside from current levels.
Is YMM stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 1.9439x, YMM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $11.67 implies 30.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can YMM stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $14 for YMM, while the most conservative target is $8. The consensus of $11.67 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover YMM stock?
YMM is lightly followed, with 3 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the YMM stock forecast?
The 12-month YMM stock forecast based on 3 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $11.67, with estimates ranging from $8 (bear case) to $14 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".
What is YMM's forward P/E ratio?
YMM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 20.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy YMM stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on YMM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $11.67 price target (30.8% upside). 1 of 3 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do YMM price targets vary so much?
YMM analyst price targets range from $8 to $14, a 51% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $11.67 consensus represents the middle ground.