Bull case
ZTS would need investors to value it at roughly 23x earnings — about 7x more generous than today's 16x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where ZTS stock could go
ZTS would need investors to value it at roughly 23x earnings — about 7x more generous than today's 16x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 19x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 3x multiple contraction could push ZTS down roughly 19% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Zoetis is the world's leading animal health company, developing and selling medicines, vaccines, and diagnostic products for both livestock and companion animals. It generates revenue primarily from pharmaceutical products (~70% of sales) and vaccines (~20%), with the remainder from diagnostics and other offerings. The company's moat stems from its extensive R&D pipeline, global manufacturing scale, and trusted brand relationships with veterinarians and livestock producers.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $1.48/$1.41 | +5.0% | $2.2B/$2.2B | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.76/$1.62 | +8.6% | $2.5B/$2.4B | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70/$1.62 | +4.9% | $2.4B/$2.4B | -0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.48/$1.40 | +5.7% | $2.4B/$2.4B | +1.1% |
ZTS beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
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Latest annual revenue by reported region
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Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $164 — implies +43.8% from today's price.
| Metric | ZTS | S&P 500 | Healthcare | 5Y Avg ZTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 15.8x | 19.1x-17% | 19.0x-17% | — |
| Trailing PE | 18.5x | 25.2x-27% | 22.1x-17% | 35.9x-49% |
| PEG Ratio | 1.54x | 1.75x-12% | 1.52x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.3x | 15.3x-13% | 14.1x | 24.2x-45% |
| Price/FCF | 20.6x | 21.3x | 18.7x+10% | 46.4x-56% |
| Price/Sales | 5.0x | 3.1x+58% | 2.8x+74% | 9.6x-48% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.80% | 1.88% | 1.40% | 0.94% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolZTS generates $2.3B in free cash flow at a 24.1% margin — 26.9% ROIC signals a durable competitive advantage · returns 8.7% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~3.1 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 11, 2026
Zoetis faces growing competition in its companion animal franchises, especially in parasiticide and dermatology markets. Market share erosion and pricing pressure threaten revenue growth and margin expansion.
Key products such as Librela (dogs) and Solensia (cats) have experienced delayed FDA approval in the U.S., slowing market adoption and growth potential. The delay reduces expected sales velocity and may erode competitive advantage.
Ongoing uncertainty in global supply chains can increase production costs and limit product availability, potentially impacting revenue growth. Disruptions may also affect the timely launch of new products.
The strategic divestiture of the Medicated Feed Additive portfolio has led to a short‑term revenue decline and reduced livestock sales. The loss of this product line may affect overall sales mix and profitability.
Zoetis’ liabilities exceed its cash and near‑term receivables, creating a leverage risk. While the market cap suggests limited immediate threat, high debt levels could constrain future financing flexibility.
Economic slowdown, regulatory changes, and weaker livestock demand in China have dampened revenue growth from the region. The company’s exposure to this market could disproportionately affect overall performance.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 11, 2026
Zoetis is the leading player in the animal health sector, benefiting from secular trends such as pet humanization and rising pet‑care spending. The company has consistently delivered strong revenue growth, margin expansion, and earnings‑per‑share growth, underscoring its market leadership.
Zoetis boasts a net margin of over 28% and strong returns on assets, equity, and invested capital. It maintains solid liquidity, low leverage, and generates consistent free cash flow, while institutional investors hold a significant portion of the stock.
The company’s R&D pipeline includes successful monoclonal antibody products for osteoarthritis pain in companion animals, such as Librela and Solensia. Zoetis is also targeting large unmet needs in chronic kidney disease and oncology, which could unlock significant new markets.
The animal health industry is considered resilient, with consistent demand and limited generic competition. Zoetis’s strength in international livestock markets helps offset potential slowdowns in consumer spending in other regions.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZTS ZTS Zoetis Inc. | $46.9B | 15.8x | +4.4% | 28.2% | Hold | +28.6% |
ELA ELAN Elanco Animal Health Incorporated | $13.1B | 25.4x | +5.6% | -4.9% | Buy | +6.6% |
PCR PCRX Pacira BioSciences, Inc. | $932M | 8.6x | +4.8% | 1.3% | Hold | +24.5% |
PAH PAHC Phibro Animal Health Corporation | $2.4B | 19.3x | +17.2% | 6.3% | Buy | -16.4% |
IDX IDXX IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. | $46.1B | 39.9x | +8.1% | 24.6% | Buy | +33.5% |
NEO NEOG Neogen Corporation | $2.0B | 25.7x | +6.0% | -68.5% | Hold | +19.8% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
ZTS returns capital mainly through $3.2B/year in buybacks (6.9% buyback yield), with a modest 1.80% dividend — combining for 8.7% total shareholder yield. The dividend has grown for 13 consecutive years.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.06 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $2.00 | +15.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% |
| 2024 | $1.73 | +15.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% |
| 2023 | $1.50 | +15.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% |
| 2022 | $1.30 | +30.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Zoetis Inc. (ZTS) is rated Hold by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 30 analysts covering the stock, 15 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 15 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $143, implying +28.6% from the current price of $111. The bear case scenario is $90 and the bull case is $158.
The Wall Street consensus price target for ZTS is $143 based on 30 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $160 (+43.9% from today), and the low-end target is $130 (+16.9%). The base case model target is $136.
ZTS trades at 15.8x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals significantly undervalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for ZTS in 2026 are: (1) Intensifying Competition — Zoetis faces growing competition in its companion animal franchises, especially in parasiticide and dermatology markets. (2) Product Approval Delays — Key products such as Librela (dogs) and Solensia (cats) have experienced delayed FDA approval in the U. (3) Supply Chain Disruptions — Ongoing uncertainty in global supply chains can increase production costs and limit product availability, potentially impacting revenue growth. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates ZTS will report consensus revenue of $9.9B (+4.4% year-over-year) and EPS of $6.87 (+12.8% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $10.3B in revenue.
Zoetis Inc. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-05-07. Consensus expects EPS of $1.62 and revenue of $2.3B. Over recent quarters, ZTS has beaten EPS estimates 83% of the time.
Zoetis Inc. (ZTS) generated $2.3B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 24.1%. ZTS returns capital to shareholders through dividends (1.8% yield) and share repurchases ($3.2B TTM).