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COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation
$899.41$398.9B
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Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Research Brief

Wall Street consensus, price target range, and equity research thesis

Buy59 Analyst Coverage
Consensus Target
$1102+22.5% Upside
Current: $899.41
Analyst Range
Low $1000High $1275
12-Month High/Low Spread
Ratings Mix
39 Buy·19 Hold·1 Sell
Earnings & Valuation
EPS Miss 1.4%
Forward P/E: 43.8x

Executive Summary & Research Take

Wall Street currently rates COST buy with a 12-month price target of $1102 (+22.5% upside). The sections below cover the bull case, key risks, and latest earnings context for Costco Wholesale Corporation.

Recent Analyst Actions

COST Analyst Upgrades & Price Target Changes

4 of 9 analysts raised targets. Recent price target changes and ratings for COST.

Updated Jun 2026
FirmActionRatingPrice Target
DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$1000$1000
TD CowenMaintainedBuy$1175$1175
DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$1000$1000
DA DavidsonMaintainedNeutral$1000$1000
B of A SecuritiesRaisedBuy$1185$1200
Truist SecuritiesRaisedHold$977$1011
BTIGMaintainedBuy$1125$1125
UBSRaisedBuy$1205$1275

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Analyst Research Summary

Investment Thesis: Bull Case & Risk Factors

A structured look at the bull case, the risks, and the most recent earnings execution for COST.

Current setup

COST missed estimates last quarter. Below are the key reasons analysts remain constructive and the risks that could change that view.

Bull Case

What keeps the long thesis intact

  • Consistent Growth and Strong FundamentalsIn Q1 of fiscal year 2026, Costco's revenue increased by 8.2%, with comparable sales up 6.4% and digital sales growing by 20.5%.
  • International Expansion and New FormatsCostco is expanding globally, opening new warehouses and exploring business centers to drive future revenue growth.
  • Resilient Business ModelCostco's value-focused model and Kirkland Signature brand appeal to a loyal customer base, helping it navigate economic challenges.
  • Analyst OptimismA significant majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy' rating on COST stock, with many believing it can reach new all-time highs.
  • Shareholder ReturnsCostco has a history of increasing dividends and share repurchases, enhancing shareholder value.

Wall Street rates COST buy, giving the bull case institutional backing from 59 analysts.

Watch Out For

What can break the setup quickly

  • High ValuationCostco's stock is trading at a premium valuation, with a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, leaving little room for error.
  • Margin PressureRising costs related to labor, supply chains, and competition could pressure Costco's profit margins.
  • Market SensitivityCostco's stock can be sensitive to broader market sentiment and macroeconomic shifts.
  • Analyst ConcernsSome analysts maintain 'Hold' or 'Sell' ratings, with one projecting significant downside.

Watch whether new negative commentary on COST points to these structural risks or is simply reacting to short-term price moves.

COST Earnings Reaction — What the Last Quarter Showed

Last Quarter

EPS
$4.93 vs $5.00 est.Miss 1.4%
Revenue
$70.5B vs $69.8B est.Beat 1.0%
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COST — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying COST stock.

What is the analyst consensus on COST?
Verdict

COST looks attractive at current levels — Wall Street's consensus rating is "Buy" with a $1102 price target (+22.5% upside from $899.41). This is informational only — verify the data and consider your own risk tolerance before deciding.

What are recent analyst rating changes for COST?
Timing

Timing depends on your horizon, but the data signals are: consensus rating "Buy" with +22.5% upside to the $1102 target. In the past 30 days, 4 of 9 covering analysts raised their price targets — a bullish signal.

What is the price target for COST stock?
Price Target

COST's consensus 12-month price target is $1102, set by 59 Wall Street analysts. The bull case high is $1275 and the bear case low is $1000. From the current price of $899.41, this implies +22.5% upside.

Is COST overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation

COST appears undervalued — the $1102 consensus target is +22.5% above today's $899.41. It trades at a forward P/E of 43.8x. Targets range from $1000 (bear) to $1275 (bull), reflecting different assumptions about growth and margins.

What were COST's latest earnings results?
Earnings

COST reports next quarter. Earnings-week moves are volatile — historically, analyst targets revise upward after a beat and downward after a miss. The current consensus is "Buy" with a $1102 target. Consider position sizing rather than going all-in pre-print.

What is the bull case for COST?
Coverage

Of 59 analysts covering Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST): 0 Strong Buy, 39 Buy, 19 Hold, 1 Sell, 0 Strong Sell — a "Buy" consensus. The 12-month price target is $1102 (range $1000–$1275). Bullish analysts outnumber bearish by more than 2-to-1.

What are the risks of investing in COST?
Risks

1 of the 59 analysts covering COST rate it Sell or Strong Sell. Common concerns include valuation stretch, slowing growth, and sector-specific headwinds — see the Bull vs. Risk cards above for the specific theses on Costco Wholesale Corporation.

Financial Data & Software Notice: VCP Scanner is an educational financial research database and stock screening software platform. VCP Scanner does not generate, recommend, or package trade decisions, buy/sell signals, or personalized investment advice. Consensus ratings and price targets reflect aggregated third-party Wall Street analyst research from public SEC filings. See our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.