MODEL VERDICT
Absci Corporation (ABSI)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.11 | $2.96 | CURRENT | +20.9% |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.11 | $2.74 | Below threshold | +71.9% |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.11 | $2.65 | Below threshold | +38.9% |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.11 | $2.55 | Below threshold | +24.3% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.11 | $2.64 | Below threshold | +12.9% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 2.39 | 2.62 | 0.95 | 3.23 | 0.91 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.82 | 2.08 | 0.70 | 2.52 | 0.71 |
| P/S Ratio | 80.84 | 65.65 | 33.20 | 158.87 | 54.25 |
Insufficient data to determine relative valuation for ABSI.
Fair value could not be computed for ABSI due to insufficient comparable data.
ABSI's current P/E of -5.9x compares to the industry median of 24.4x (47 peers in the group). This represents a -124.0% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
12 analysts cover ABSI with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $6.16 (range: $4.32 — $8.00), implying +25.2% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (9), Hold (1), Sell (2), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 49/100, based on: data completeness (0), peer quality (25), historical depth (16), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for ABSI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.