MODEL VERDICT
AirSculpt Technologies, Inc. (AIRS)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 37 industry peers | $2.23 | +0.5% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 37 industry peers | $2.24 | +0.9% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $3.48 | +57.0% | 100% | 51 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 49.51 | 42.73 | 26.08 | 86.48 | 26.02 |
| P/FCF | 32.39 | 30.30 | 17.88 | 49.01 | 15.67 |
| P/FFO | 70.58 | 73.65 | 55.78 | 82.32 | 13.54 |
| P/B Ratio | 5.80 | 4.42 | 2.91 | 11.45 | 3.87 |
| Div Yield | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| P/S Ratio | 3.06 | 1.92 | 1.22 | 7.17 | 2.77 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 3 valuation metrics, the model estimates AIRS's fair value at $3.48 vs the current price of $2.22, implying +57.0% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 51/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $3.48 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $1.66 (P10) to $5.49 (P90), with a median of $3.40.
AIRS's current P/E of -15.9x compares to the industry median of 21.3x (20 peers in the group). This represents a -174.5% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
5 analysts cover AIRS with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $6.00 (range: $6.00 — $6.00), implying +170.3% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (2), Hold (3), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 51/100, based on: data completeness (9), peer quality (25), historical depth (10), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for AIRS.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.