MODEL VERDICT
Altice USA, Inc. (ATUS)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $1.89 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $1.89 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $1.89 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $1.89 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $1.89 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA 8 industry peers | $69.05 | +3553.4% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 6 industry peers | $22.14 | +1071.4% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV To Revenue 8 industry peers | $108.68 | +5650.3% | 4% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $55.93 | +2859.0% | 100% | 64 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 45.21 | 27.08 | 7.56 | 130.19 | 50.46 |
| EV/EBIT | 17.75 | 15.41 | 13.24 | 25.21 | 4.78 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.53 | 7.88 | 0.01 | 11.62 | 3.68 |
| P/FCF | 7.22 | 7.45 | 0.63 | 12.16 | 4.20 |
| P/FFO | 3.60 | 1.86 | 0.72 | 8.77 | 3.62 |
| P/AFFO | 17.26 | 14.46 | 4.84 | 38.12 | 11.56 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.77 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 2.23 | 0.90 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 8 valuation metrics, the model estimates ATUS's fair value at $55.93 vs the current price of $1.89, implying +2859.0% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 64/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $55.93 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $48.45 (P10) to $75.84 (P90), with a median of $61.92.
ATUS's current P/E of -8.6x compares to the industry median of 9.4x (4 peers in the group). This represents a -191.0% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 45.2x over 5 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
36 analysts cover ATUS with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $2.50 (range: $2.50 — $2.50), implying +32.3% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (15), Hold (15), Sell (6), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 64/100, based on: data completeness (11), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for ATUS.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.