MODEL VERDICT
Brookfield Infrastructure Corpo (BIPH)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $16.65 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $16.75 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $16.50 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.66 | $16.50 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $15.87 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Median P/E 12 industry peers | $2.98 | -82.1% | 30% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Book 12 industry peers | $109.12 | +555.4% | 25% | B | Model Driven |
| Price / Tangible Book 12 bank peers | $6.31 | -62.1% | 20% | B+ | Bank Primary |
| Dividend Yield 11 industry peers | $137.30 | +724.6% | 10% | B | Supplementary |
| Earnings Yield 12 industry peers | $2.97 | -82.2% | 8% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $36.23 | +117.6% | 100% | 71 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 117× | 128× | 139× (Current) | 150× | 161× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (9%) | $15 | $17 | $18 | $20 | $21 |
| Conservative (14%) | $16 | $18 | $19 | $21 | $22 |
| Base Case (22.0%) | $17 | $19 | $20 | $22 | $24 |
| Bull Case (30%) | $18 | $20 | $22 | $23 | $25 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 81.59 | 84.66 | 18.22 | 138.83 | 49.46 |
| EV/EBIT | 12.83 | 12.61 | 11.29 | 14.81 | 1.75 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.62 | 7.60 | 6.59 | 8.68 | 1.00 |
| P/FCF | 13.51 | 15.88 | 4.85 | 19.80 | 7.76 |
| P/FFO | 3.03 | 2.92 | 2.08 | 4.23 | 0.91 |
| P/TBV | 3.32 | 2.80 | 1.43 | 6.25 | 2.14 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.09 |
| Div Yield | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.21 | 0.07 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.56 | 0.46 | 0.37 | 0.97 | 0.28 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 14 valuation metrics, the model estimates BIPH's fair value at $36.23 vs the current price of $16.65, implying +117.6% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 71/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $36.23 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $26.67 (P10) to $42.77 (P90), with a median of $33.14.
BIPH's current P/E of 138.8x compares to the industry median of 24.8x (12 peers in the group). This represents a +459.6% premium to the industry. The historical average P/E is 81.6x over 4 years. Signal: High Premium.
No analyst coverage data is available for BIPH.
The model confidence score is 71/100, based on: data completeness (30), peer quality (25), historical depth (10), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Multiple compression: BIPH trades at the 8330th percentile of its historical P/E range. A reversion to median (81.6×) would imply significant downside. (2) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk refers to the possibility that BIPH's current profitability is above its sustainable long-term trend. The model detects a margin Z-score of -0.7σ, meaning margins are 0.7 standard deviations below their historical average. If margins revert to the 4-year mean (1.7%), the model estimates fair value drops by 26560.0% to approximately $61. This isn't a prediction — it's a scenario analysis.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.