MODEL VERDICT
Brookfield Corporation (BN)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.34 | $45.23 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.33 | $45.48 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.31 | $46.59 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.28 | $46.50 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.21 | $42.14 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Median P/E 10 industry peers | $0.02 | -100.0% | 30% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Book 12 industry peers | $135.44 | +199.4% | 25% | B | Model Driven |
| Price / Tangible Book 11 bank peers | $105.32 | +132.9% | 20% | B+ | Bank Primary |
| Earnings Yield 10 industry peers | $0.02 | -100.0% | 8% | B | Data |
| Forward P/E 9 analyst estimates | $47.31 | +4.6% | 7% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $48.06 | +6.3% | 100% | 69 | SLIGHTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 8399× | 9199× | 9999× (Current) | 10799× | 11599× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (4%) | $4 | $5 | $5 | $6 | $6 |
| Conservative (7%) | $4 | $5 | $5 | $6 | $6 |
| Base Case (10.0%) | $5 | $5 | $5 | $6 | $6 |
| Bull Case (14%) | $5 | $5 | $6 | $6 | $7 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15349.37 | 46.10 | 18.15 | 91780.00 | 37443.26 |
| EV/EBIT | 15.54 | 14.44 | 10.81 | 22.67 | 3.74 |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.78 | 12.17 | 8.63 | 13.37 | 1.59 |
| P/FCF | 34.84 | 24.36 | 11.36 | 79.30 | 31.43 |
| P/FFO | 7.48 | 7.50 | 5.19 | 9.41 | 1.68 |
| P/TBV | 0.83 | 0.68 | 0.62 | 1.29 | 0.25 |
| P/AFFO | 23.67 | 21.79 | 10.25 | 36.14 | 10.49 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.48 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.65 | 0.12 |
| Div Yield | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.89 | 0.83 | 0.55 | 1.40 | 0.29 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 14 valuation metrics, the model estimates BN's fair value at $48.06 vs the current price of $45.23, implying +6.3% upside potential. Model verdict: Slightly Undervalued. Confidence: 69/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $48.06 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $48.38 (P10) to $84.56 (P90), with a median of $66.26.
BN's current P/E of 9999.0x compares to the industry median of 32.1x (10 peers in the group). This represents a +31062.1% premium to the industry. The historical average P/E is 15349.4x over 6 years. Signal: High Premium.
9 analysts cover BN with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $54.40 (range: $49.00 — $61.00), implying +20.3% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (8), Hold (1), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 69/100, based on: data completeness (18), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk refers to the possibility that BN's current profitability is above its sustainable long-term trend. The model detects a margin Z-score of -0.0σ, meaning margins are 0.0 standard deviations below their historical average. If margins revert to the 6-year mean (1.7%), the model estimates fair value drops by 8250.0% to approximately $8. This isn't a prediction — it's a scenario analysis.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.