MODEL VERDICT
Clarus Corporation (CLAR)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 24 industry peers | $15.98 | +339.0% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 24 industry peers | $7.08 | +94.5% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $14.56 | +300.1% | 100% | 50 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 46.91 | 39.99 | 22.13 | 85.56 | 27.15 |
| EV/EBIT | 58.55 | 38.91 | 32.92 | 103.81 | 39.31 |
| EV/EBITDA | 110.94 | 30.94 | 19.71 | 362.16 | 167.70 |
| P/FCF | 38.32 | 37.99 | 9.96 | 77.74 | 26.21 |
| P/FFO | 23.48 | 23.60 | 15.52 | 33.36 | 6.70 |
| P/TBV | 5.15 | 3.51 | 0.87 | 19.74 | 6.56 |
| P/AFFO | 38.92 | 40.33 | 18.31 | 57.64 | 17.20 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.69 | 1.83 | 0.74 | 2.67 | 0.80 |
| Div Yield | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.66 | 1.44 | 0.65 | 3.72 | 1.06 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates CLAR's fair value at $14.56 vs the current price of $3.64, implying +300.1% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 50/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $14.56 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $8.93 (P10) to $17.09 (P90), with a median of $12.97.
CLAR's current P/E of -2.7x compares to the industry median of 22.8x (13 peers in the group). This represents a -111.7% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 46.9x over 4 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
11 analysts cover CLAR with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $4.25 (range: $3.50 — $5.00), implying +16.8% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (6), Hold (5), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 50/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (10). Cyclicality penalty: --15 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for CLAR.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.