AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)
Valuation Overview•Is AMCON Distributing Company Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Fragile underlying quality score of 31/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Highly distressed profile flashing severe fundamental warning signs.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral. This is paired with healthy capital returns, driven by a balanced mix of reliable dividends and share buybacks.
DIT struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, this is severely offset by a highly leveraged balance sheet (Debt/EBITDA > 4.0x) and elevated financial risk.
The company demonstrates solid revenue growth (11.9% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (0.4%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $715.7M | +3.9% | +11.9% | +20.1% | +8.2% | |
| EBITDA | $2.1M | — | -5.2% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$2.2M | -86.9% | -67.6% | — | -21.5% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-3.52 | -87.1% | -68.2% | -37.6% | -20.0% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.1M | -79.6% | +5.6% | -4.0% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Operating Margin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Net Margin | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| FCF Margin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26Latest | — | $1.28 | — | ||
| Q4'25 | — | $0.80 | — | ||
| Q3'25 | — | $2.13 | — | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $-2.58 | — | ||
| Q1'25 | — | $0.57 | — | ||
| Q4'24 | — | $2.04 | — | ||
| Q3'24 | — | $2.46 | — | ||
| Q2'24 | — | $0.89 | — |
Total return is -0.7% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -21.5%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -5.6% | -12.9% | — |
| 1Y | -0.7% | -21.5% | +0.9% |
| 3YCAGR | -20.4% | -40.2% | +1.4% |
| 5YCAGR | -4.1% | -15.6% | +9.9% |
| 10YCAGR | +4.2% | -9.7% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, AMCON Distributing Company appears Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
AMCON Distributing Company has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $162.32. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
AMCON Distributing Company displays weak financial health with a composite quality score of 31/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 9.1 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 3.3%.
AMCON Distributing Company pays a 1.5% dividend yield, covered by a 113% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 1.7% buyback yield.
AMCON Distributing Company's current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved +3.9% 1Y revenue growth and -87.1% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +11.9%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for AMCON Distributing Company include: -36.0% 1-year max drawdown, stretched payout ratio. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.26x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.