Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás (EBR-B)
Estimates & Forecasts•Proprietary EPS, revenue & margin forecasts — FY+1 to FY+4
Popular:
EBR-B Price Targets Summary| Metric | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $3.6B | $4.5B | $10.4B | $3.3B | $4.1B | $6.3B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.33 | $2.15 | $4.50 | $1.37 | $1.68 | $2.58 |
| YoY Growth | — | +25.2% | +128.1% | -68.6% | +24.6% | +55.9% |
| Net Margin | 10.7% | 12.2% | 25.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% |
USD · EBR-B · Proprietary Model| Metric | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $40.2B | $45.2B | $48.5B | $52.7B | $56.9B |
| Net Income | $10.4B | $-188M | $3.3B | $4.1B | $6.3B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $4.50 | $-0.08 | $1.37 | $1.68 | $2.58 |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.7B | $-562M | $410M | $1.2B | $1.9B |
Treat point estimates cautiously; use wider scenario ranges and position sizing discipline.
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying EBR-B stock.
Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás's projected EPS for the next fiscal year is $-0.08. This estimate blends our quantitative model with Wall Street analyst consensus and carries a confidence score of 24/100. The model factors in revenue trajectory, margin path, and share buyback trends to arrive at this figure.
Our scenario-based model produces three price targets for Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás: Bear case $N/A, Base case $N/A, and Bull case $N/A. These targets are derived by applying the median historical P/E ratio to forward EPS estimates under each growth scenario. They are not buy/sell recommendations.
Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás's projected revenue growth for the next fiscal year is 5.9%, reaching approximately $45.2B in total revenue. Growth estimates are probability-weighted and blend analyst consensus with our CAGR extrapolation model. Outer years (FY+3, FY+4) fade toward industry median growth rates.
Accuracy depends on several measurable factors. Our model confidence score of 24/100 is computed from revenue predictability (25% weight), margin stability (20%), historical earnings beat rate (20%), data depth (15%), analyst coverage (10%), and model-consensus agreement (10%). Currently expanding margins support higher forecast reliability. No forecast model is perfect — always cross-reference with your own analysis.
Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás's forward operating margin is estimated at 14.0% for the next fiscal year. The margin trend is currently "expanding". Our model tracks margin mean-reversion patterns and adjusts for sector-specific cost dynamics. Operating leverage is a key driver of EPS growth beyond top-line revenue expansion.
The v2 model uses a multi-step process: (1) Revenue is projected via blended CAGR with probability weighting, (2) Operating and net margins follow a mean-reversion path calibrated to sector norms, (3) EPS is derived from net income divided by projected diluted shares (accounting for buyback trends), (4) For FY+1 and FY+2, estimates are blended with analyst consensus based on coverage depth, (5) Price targets apply median historical P/E to forward EPS under bear/base/bull growth scenarios. All inputs are from public filings and third-party data providers.
The bear case ($N/A) assumes P25 revenue growth, worst-case margins, and multiple compression. Key risks include: unexpected margin contraction, revenue deceleration below model floor, regulatory headwinds, macro deterioration, or competitive disruption. A confidence score below 60 suggests higher estimate volatility. Always size positions according to the full scenario range, not just the base case.
Our model is below Wall Street consensus with a 102.0% gap. For FY+1, analyst estimates blend with our model at 15% analyst weight. By FY+3 and FY+4, estimates are purely model-driven as analyst coverage thins out at longer horizons.