MODEL VERDICT
Enovix Corporation (ENVX)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.49 | $6.77 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.49 | $6.61 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.50 | $6.62 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.50 | $6.31 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.34 | $6.09 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 3 industry peers | $1.76 | -74.0% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 3 industry peers | $1.40 | -79.3% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $10.00 | +47.8% | 100% | 37 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 8.17 | 9.48 | 5.38 | 9.81 | 2.04 |
| P/B Ratio | 7.19 | 7.59 | 5.38 | 9.81 | 1.82 |
| P/S Ratio | 174.64 | 170.84 | 47.70 | 309.19 | 128.93 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates ENVX's fair value at $10.00 vs the current price of $6.77, implying +47.8% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 37/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $10.00 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $1.74 (P10) to $11.23 (P90), with a median of $6.40.
ENVX's current P/E of -9.0x compares to the industry median of 28.4x (12 peers in the group). This represents a -131.8% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
16 analysts cover ENVX with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $17.75 (range: $6.00 — $25.00), implying +162.2% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (12), Hold (4), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 37/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (18), historical depth (16), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: --10 points. The model shows weak agreement across inputs — interpret with caution.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for ENVX.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.