MODEL VERDICT
Fluent, Inc. (FLNT)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 22 industry peers | $13.99 | +283.3% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 22 industry peers | $11.42 | +212.9% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $10.99 | +201.0% | 100% | 58 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBIT | 42.76 | 46.82 | 27.60 | 53.87 | 13.60 |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.38 | 15.92 | 12.75 | 20.92 | 4.24 |
| P/FCF | 17.45 | 16.88 | 9.31 | 24.33 | 6.77 |
| P/FFO | 30.52 | 24.12 | 16.27 | 51.16 | 18.30 |
| P/TBV | 21.87 | 12.66 | 8.74 | 66.19 | 24.86 |
| P/AFFO | 466.53 | 26.53 | 24.21 | 1348.85 | 764.11 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.31 | 1.33 | 0.75 | 1.95 | 0.45 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.61 | 0.48 | 0.16 | 1.36 | 0.47 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates FLNT's fair value at $10.99 vs the current price of $3.65, implying +201.0% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 58/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $10.99 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $5.75 (P10) to $18.95 (P90), with a median of $12.21.
FLNT's current P/E of -2.0x compares to the industry median of 23.6x (13 peers in the group). This represents a -108.6% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
2 analysts cover FLNT with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $3.50 (range: $3.50 — $3.50), implying -4.1% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (0), Hold (2), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 58/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for FLNT.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.