Forrester Research, Inc. (FORR)
Valuation Overview•Is Forrester Research, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Fragile underlying quality score of 26/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Highly distressed profile flashing severe fundamental warning signs.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. However, capital return yields remain modest, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
FORR struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-9.6% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (-0.3%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $85.5M | -8.2% | -9.6% | -2.4% | +2.4% | |
| EBITDA | -$2.2M | — | -37.8% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$21.8M | -1976.9% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1.14 | -1993.3% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.00 | +349.2% | -18.8% | -14.2% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 54.0% | 69.5% | 65.2% | 62.2% |
| Operating Margin | -0.3% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% |
| Net Margin | -13.7% | -10.3% | -4.3% | -0.7% |
| FCF Margin | -2.0% | 2.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.12 | $-0.04 | -133.3% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.21 | $0.17 | -19.0% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.31 | $0.37 | +19.4% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.31 | $0.34 | +10.9% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.08 | $0.11 | +37.5% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.34 | $0.36 | +5.9% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.34 | $0.29 | -14.7% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.70 | $0.68 | -2.9% |
Total return is -31.1% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -56.1%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -17.8% | -27.1% | — |
| 1Y | -31.1% | -56.1% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -39.9% | -59.5% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -31.1% | -43.3% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -13.8% | -27.1% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Forrester Research, Inc. (FORR) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Forrester Research, Inc. appears Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Forrester Research, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $8.81. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Forrester Research, Inc. displays weak financial health with a composite quality score of 26/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 1.3 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 0.8%.
Forrester Research, Inc. returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 2.0% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by -0.4% in the last 12 months.
Forrester Research, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Stable. The company achieved -8.2% 1Y revenue growth and -1993.3% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -9.6%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 4 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 50% of recent quarters with a -2-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Forrester Research, Inc. include: -55.0% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.50x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.