MODEL VERDICT
Glaukos Corporation (GKOS)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.14 | $140.22 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.14 | $121.48 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.14 | $124.79 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.14 | $121.00 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.14 | $116.40 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 10 industry peers | $29.17 | -79.2% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 10 industry peers | $29.85 | -78.7% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $45.71 | -67.4% | 100% | 58 | SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 16.38 | 13.75 | 9.98 | 34.17 | 8.27 |
| P/B Ratio | 6.32 | 5.02 | 3.33 | 10.31 | 3.08 |
| P/S Ratio | 12.04 | 12.23 | 7.02 | 20.63 | 4.77 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates GKOS's fair value at $45.71 vs the current price of $140.22, implying -67.4% downside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Overvalued. Confidence: 58/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $45.71 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $32.16 (P10) to $58.67 (P90), with a median of $45.40.
GKOS's current P/E of -42.8x compares to the industry median of 29.6x (5 peers in the group). This represents a -244.4% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
24 analysts cover GKOS with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $146.67 (range: $135.00 — $170.00), implying +4.6% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (18), Hold (5), Sell (1), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 58/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for GKOS.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.