MODEL VERDICT
Acushnet Holdings Corp. (GOLF)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $95.72 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $98.10 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $99.96 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $96.37 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.70 | $97.79 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 5 analyst estimates | $58.47 | -38.9% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 4 industry peers | $82522.68 | +86112.6% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Industry Median P/E 4 industry peers | $62.95 | -34.2% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 5 industry peers | $27134.07 | +28247.3% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 4 industry peers | $107144.03 | +111834.8% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 5 industry peers | $17220.86 | +17890.9% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| Peg Ratio 4 industry peers | $78.50 | -18.0% | 5% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 6 industry peers | $41.68 | -56.5% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 4 industry peers | $63.31 | -33.9% | 2% | B | Data |
| FCF Yield 4 industry peers | $29479.68 | +30697.8% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $39449.81 | +41113.8% | 100% | 86 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 27× | 29× | 31× (Current) | 33× | 35× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (8%) | $90 | $97 | $104 | $110 | $117 |
| Conservative (13%) | $94 | $101 | $108 | $115 | $122 |
| Base Case (19.4%) | $100 | $107 | $115 | $122 | $130 |
| Bull Case (26%) | $106 | $113 | $121 | $129 | $137 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 22.58 | 21.49 | 15.44 | 31.67 | 5.04 |
| EV/EBIT | 17.38 | 16.50 | 13.13 | 25.63 | 4.31 |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.08 | 13.38 | 1.71 | 16.90 | 4.93 |
| P/FCF | 15.62 | 15.09 | 0.04 | 26.54 | 9.46 |
| P/FFO | 14.47 | 16.74 | 0.03 | 21.51 | 6.92 |
| P/TBV | 22.05 | 9.80 | 0.10 | 83.94 | 28.58 |
| P/AFFO | 18.79 | 21.89 | 0.04 | 26.06 | 8.83 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.25 | 3.13 | 0.01 | 5.68 | 1.79 |
| Div Yield | 1.69 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 11.75 | 4.44 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.46 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 1.89 | 0.68 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 26 valuation metrics, the model estimates GOLF's fair value at $39449.81 vs the current price of $95.72, implying +41113.8% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 86/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $39449.81 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $27716.24 (P10) to $41505.60 (P90), with a median of $34531.97.
GOLF's current P/E of 30.9x compares to the industry median of 20.3x (4 peers in the group). This represents a +52.0% premium to the industry. The historical average P/E is 22.6x over 7 years. Signal: High Premium.
21 analysts cover GOLF with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $92.50 (range: $80.00 — $100.00), implying -3.4% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (3), Hold (17), Sell (1), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 86/100, based on: data completeness (27), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (12), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Multiple compression: GOLF trades at the 6000th percentile of its historical P/E range. A reversion to median (22.6×) would imply significant downside. (2) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for GOLF.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.