Happen, Inc. Common Stock (HAPN)
Valuation Overview•Is Happen, Inc. Common Stock Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a discount compared to peers, but the underlying intrinsic cash flows struggle to support the current price.
Moderate quality score of 61/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain cautious, with consensus price targets indicating limited room for upside expansion.
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Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though profitability presents a headwind.
Wall Street is cautious, forecasting potential downside with steady expected earnings growth. The company currently dilutes shareholders to fund operations and growth rather than returning capital.
HAPN demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($902M) and minimal debt risk.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. The company maintains healthy operational efficiency with a 19.5% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $358.4M | +15.0% | +1.7% | +24.0% | +13.7% | |
| EBITDA | $93.8M | — | +26.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $59.3M | +164.3% | -22.3% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.50 | +155.6% | -25.6% | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$709.7M | -6.7% | — | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 75.1% | 57.3% | 64.0% | 60.6% |
| Operating Margin | 19.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | -3.6% |
| Net Margin | 15.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | -4.2% |
| FCF Margin | -216.7% | -183.9% | -101.0% | -58.6% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.38 | $0.44 | +15.8% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.31 | $0.35 | +12.9% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.30 | $0.37 | +21.9% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.15 | $0.33 | +120.0% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.10 | $0.10 | +0.0% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.09 | $0.11 | +22.2% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.07 | $0.13 | +85.7% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.04 | $0.13 | +230.8% |
Total return is +10.8% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +1.1%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +4.3% | -3.3% | — |
| 1Y | +10.8% | +1.1% | — |
| 3YCAGR | +51.6% | +32.5% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -15.2% | -24.6% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -3.9% | -17.0% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 29.9x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Happen, Inc. Common Stock (HAPN) valuation, health, and returns.
Happen, Inc. Common Stock is estimated to be overvalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. overvalued (implying -41.1% downside from DCF intrinsic value of $11.76)
Happen, Inc. Common Stock has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $11.76 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $66.76 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $18.33 (implying -8.1% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Happen, Inc. Common Stock displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 61/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 49.3%.
Happen, Inc. Common Stock does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Happen, Inc. Common Stock's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +15.0% 1Y revenue growth and +155.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +1.7%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 25 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 92% of recent quarters with a 4-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a -8.1% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Happen, Inc. Common Stock include: -38.3% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (2.24x market volatility). Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 2.24x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.