MODEL VERDICT
Anywhere Real Estate Inc. (HOUS)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $17.64 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $17.64 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $17.64 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $17.64 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.67 | $17.64 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price / FFO 1 REIT peers | $26.39 | +49.6% | 30% | A | REIT Primary |
| EV/EBITDA 1 industry peers | $186.74 | +958.6% | 15% | A- | Peer Data |
| Dividend Yield 1 industry peers | $0.72 | -95.9% | 12% | B | Supplementary |
| Price / Book 2 industry peers | $44.06 | +149.8% | 8% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 2 industry peers | $219.76 | +1145.8% | 3% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 2 industry peers | $127.85 | +624.8% | 2% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $45.45 | +157.7% | 100% | 63 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBIT | 86.86 | 84.11 | 7.86 | 194.45 | 79.84 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.37 | 8.46 | 0.92 | 20.75 | 6.15 |
| P/FCF | 6.41 | 5.27 | 2.31 | 14.10 | 4.22 |
| P/FFO | 35.24 | 5.24 | 0.33 | 157.92 | 68.65 |
| P/AFFO | 12.66 | 4.53 | 0.33 | 33.13 | 17.85 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.61 | 0.53 | 0.23 | 0.92 | 0.25 |
| Div Yield | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.29 | 0.08 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 17 valuation metrics, the model estimates HOUS's fair value at $45.45 vs the current price of $17.64, implying +157.7% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 63/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $45.45 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $40.19 (P10) to $81.39 (P90), with a median of $56.39.
HOUS's current P/E of -15.3x compares to the industry median of 25.8x (9 peers in the group). This represents a -159.6% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
16 analysts cover HOUS with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $19.00 (range: $19.00 — $19.00), implying +7.7% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (7), Hold (9), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 63/100, based on: data completeness (22), peer quality (14), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for HOUS.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.