High-Trend International Group (HTCO)
Valuation Overview•Is High-Trend International Group Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Fragile underlying quality score of 43/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral. The company currently dilutes shareholders to fund operations and growth rather than returning capital.
HTCO struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($10M) and minimal debt risk.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (-5.5%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $115.0M | +98.2% | +5.0% | +22.3% | — | |
| EBITDA | -$7.5M | — | — | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$8.2M | +9.0% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1.23 | +21.6% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$1.9M | +239.0% | -48.1% | +33.2% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 4.6% | -0.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Operating Margin | -5.5% | -7.9% | -0.4% | -1.6% |
| Net Margin | -14.0% | -13.9% | -6.1% | -5.8% |
| FCF Margin | 0.4% | -6.5% | -0.2% | 0.0% |
Total return is -19.9% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -40.8%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -50.1% | -57.4% | — |
| 1Y | -19.9% | -40.8% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -25.6% | -45.1% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -16.2% | -27.9% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -8.5% | -22.3% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about High-Trend International Group (HTCO) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, High-Trend International Group appears Limited: Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
High-Trend International Group has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $7.19. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
High-Trend International Group displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 43/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 6.8 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -260.2%.
High-Trend International Group does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
High-Trend International Group's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +98.2% 1Y revenue growth and +21.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +5.0%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for High-Trend International Group include: -93.3% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.68x market volatility). Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.68x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.