Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. (INR)
Valuation Overview•Is Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 52/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. However, capital return yields remain modest, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
INR demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company is driving exceptional top-line expansion (35.5% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 41.9% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $154.9M | +37.6% | +35.5% | — | — | |
| EBITDA | $114.5M | — | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$1.9M | -51.8% | -29.6% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.28 | -76.1% | -8.5% | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$640.5M | -114.6% | -76.4% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 47.1% | 48.5% | 55.3% | 55.3% |
| Operating Margin | 41.9% | 24.0% | 34.7% | 34.7% |
| Net Margin | 11.1% | 26.4% | 31.7% | 31.7% |
| FCF Margin | -181.8% | -93.9% | -75.8% | -75.8% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.85 | $1.76 | +107.1% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.65 | $1.32 | +103.1% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.44 | $0.65 | +47.7% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.45 | $1.18 | +162.2% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.65 | $-2.27 | -448.7% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.41 | $0.51 | +24.1% | ||
| Q4'24 | — | $0.63 | — | ||
| Q3'24 | — | $1.82 | — |
Total return is -31.2% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -52.0%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -12.5% | -19.8% | — |
| 1Y | -31.2% | -52.0% | — |
| 3Y | — | — | — |
| 5Y | — | — | — |
| 10Y | — | — | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.5x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. (INR) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. appears Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $175.96 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $21.50 (implying +69.2% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 52/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 0.7 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 0.9%.
Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 0.6% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by +20.0% in the last 12 months.
Infinity Natural Resources, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +37.6% 1Y revenue growth and -76.1% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +35.5%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 6 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 83% of recent quarters with a 4-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +69.2% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. include: -42.7% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of -0.18x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.