MODEL VERDICT
Lee Enterprises, Incorporated (LEE)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 9 industry peers | $22.44 | +327.4% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 9 industry peers | $49.27 | +838.5% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $28.81 | +448.8% | 100% | 61 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBIT | 19.21 | 13.52 | 7.07 | 55.94 | 18.19 |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.87 | 7.84 | 4.85 | 35.29 | 10.67 |
| P/FCF | 2.66 | 1.71 | 1.56 | 4.72 | 1.79 |
| P/FFO | 9.04 | 2.09 | 1.72 | 49.61 | 17.90 |
| P/AFFO | 2.75 | 2.51 | 1.89 | 3.97 | 0.82 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.27 | 4.65 | 1.95 | 6.22 | 2.16 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 0.07 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 4 valuation metrics, the model estimates LEE's fair value at $28.81 vs the current price of $5.25, implying +448.8% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 61/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $28.81 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $2.18 (P10) to $14.96 (P90), with a median of $7.43.
LEE's current P/E of -0.9x compares to the industry median of 20.3x (5 peers in the group). This represents a -104.2% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
No analyst coverage data is available for LEE.
The model confidence score is 61/100, based on: data completeness (9), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for LEE.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.