MODEL VERDICT
Lineage, Inc. (LINE)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $37.04 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $37.14 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $37.69 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $35.68 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $34.33 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price / FFO 9 REIT peers | $54.16 | +46.2% | 30% | A | REIT Primary |
| Price / AFFO 7 REIT peers | $3.54 | -90.4% | 20% | A | REIT Primary |
| EV/EBITDA 9 industry peers | $129.90 | +250.7% | 15% | A- | Peer Data |
| Dividend Yield 8 industry peers | $67.75 | +82.9% | 12% | B | Supplementary |
| Price / Book 9 industry peers | $86.07 | +132.4% | 8% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 9 industry peers | $304.10 | +721.0% | 3% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 9 industry peers | $208.63 | +463.3% | 2% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $76.41 | +106.3% | 100% | 64 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 14 valuation metrics, the model estimates LINE's fair value at $76.41 vs the current price of $37.04, implying +106.3% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 64/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $76.41 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $66.00 (P10) to $78.73 (P90), with a median of $72.18.
LINE's current P/E of -86.1x compares to the industry median of 32.1x (8 peers in the group). This represents a -368.4% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
16 analysts cover LINE with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $38.80 (range: $32.00 — $45.00), implying +4.8% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (3), Hold (10), Sell (3), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 64/100, based on: data completeness (26), peer quality (25), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for LINE.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.