MODEL VERDICT
Lineage, Inc. (LINE) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.64 | $40.52 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $38.30 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $37.83 | CURRENT | — |
| Feb 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $40.21 | CURRENT | — |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.71 | $36.49 | Pending | +7.8% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA 18 industry peers | $110.00 | +171.5% | 15% | A- | Peer Data |
| Dividend Yield 20 industry peers | $78.39 | +93.5% | 12% | B | Supplementary |
| Price / Book 23 industry peers | $84.12 | +107.6% | 8% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 20 industry peers | $293.64 | +624.7% | 3% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 20 industry peers | $206.65 | +410.0% | 2% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $120.11 | +196.4% | 100% | 64 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 10 valuation metrics, the model estimates LINE's fair value at $120.11 vs the current price of $40.52, implying +196.4% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 64/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $120.11 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $94.58 (P10) to $146.11 (P90), with a median of $116.50.
LINE's current P/E of -94.2x compares to the industry median of 27.2x (15 peers in the group). This represents a -446.0% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
16 analysts cover LINE with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $39.73 (range: $32.00 — $45.00), implying -1.9% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (3), Hold (11), Sell (2), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 64/100, based on: data completeness (26), peer quality (25), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for LINE.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.