MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT)
Valuation Overview•Is MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 49/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant growth concerns.
Wall Street is broadly bullish, projecting solid upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This is paired with healthy capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
MCFT demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($29M) and minimal debt risk.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-23.8% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (3.8%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $78.2M | -22.5% | -23.8% | -4.8% | +2.9% | |
| EBITDA | $1.2M | — | -45.1% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$742K | -9.7% | -50.5% | — | +2.4% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.05 | -6.5% | -48.3% | — | +3.0% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.8M | +783.1% | -24.4% | +10.6% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 22.8% | 22.0% | 23.8% | 24.7% |
| Operating Margin | 3.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% |
| Net Margin | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| FCF Margin | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.36 | $0.45 | +25.0% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.16 | $0.29 | +81.3% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.16 | $0.28 | +75.0% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.18 | $0.40 | +122.2% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.18 | $0.30 | +66.7% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.01 | $0.10 | +900.0% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.03 | $0.12 | +313.8% | ||
| Q3'24 | $-0.22 | $-0.04 | +81.8% |
Total return is +29.9% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +4.9%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +23.2% | +13.9% | — |
| 1Y | +29.9% | +4.9% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -7.5% | -28.0% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -1.5% | -14.7% | — |
| 10YCAGR | +7.1% | -6.8% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. appears Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $28.88 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $25.33 (implying +8.8% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 49/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 5.2 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 4.4%.
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 2.6% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by -2.9% in the last 12 months.
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Stable. The company achieved -22.5% 1Y revenue growth and -6.5% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -23.8%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 10 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 100% of recent quarters with a 24-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +8.8% change from current levels.
Investment risks for MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. include: -27.7% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.21x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.