MODEL VERDICT
Mind Medicine (MindMed) Inc. (MNMD)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.17 | $13.84 | CURRENT | +29.9% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | NEUTRAL | 0.17 | $12.55 | Below threshold | +43.3% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | NEUTRAL | 0.17 | $12.14 | Below threshold | +42.9% |
| Oct 13, 2025 | NEUTRAL | 0.17 | $12.25 | Below threshold | +13.0% |
| Sep 13, 2025 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $9.44 | Below threshold | +32.9% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 6.33 | 3.83 | 0.12 | 22.14 | 7.80 |
| P/B Ratio | 5.82 | 3.60 | 0.12 | 20.31 | 7.31 |
Insufficient data to determine relative valuation for MNMD.
Fair value could not be computed for MNMD due to insufficient comparable data.
MNMD's current P/E of -10.0x compares to the industry median of 27.4x (1 peers in the group). This represents a -136.6% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
1 analysts cover MNMD with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $20.00 (range: $14.00 — $28.00), implying -3.3% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (1), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 50/100, based on: data completeness (0), peer quality (22), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for MNMD.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.