Priced at a premium to peer multiples and intrinsic cash flows, demanding strong execution to justify current levels.
Fragile underlying quality score of 43/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain cautious, with consensus price targets indicating limited room for upside expansion.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street is cautious, forecasting potential downside alongside robust expected earnings growth. However, capital return yields remain modest, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
MTRN struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. Operating efficiency remains adequate with margins around 6.1%.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $549.8M | +6.0% | +0.6% | +8.7% | +5.7% | |
| EBITDA | $48.7M | — | +2.6% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $19.4M | +1170.8% | -4.5% | — | +8.8% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.92 | +1178.6% | -4.7% | +36.7% | +8.5% | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$19.6M | +612.9% | +9.2% | +8.1% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 15.8% | 19.0% | 19.1% | 19.2% |
| Operating Margin | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Net Margin | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| FCF Margin | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $1.24 | $1.27 | +2.4% | ||
| Q1'26 | $1.51 | $1.53 | +1.3% | ||
| Q4'25 | $1.41 | $1.41 | +0.0% | ||
| Q3'25 | $1.18 | $1.37 | +16.1% | ||
| Q2'25 | $1.12 | $1.13 | +0.9% | ||
| Q1'25 | $1.43 | $1.55 | +8.4% | ||
| Q4'24 | $1.41 | $1.41 | +0.0% | ||
| Q3'24 | $1.41 | $1.42 | +0.7% |
Total return is +257.2% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +232.2%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +114.2% | +104.9% | — |
| 1Y | +257.2% | +232.2% | +0.7% |
| 3YCAGR | +36.2% | +14.8% | +1.5% |
| 5YCAGR | +29.7% | +15.9% | +3.5% |
| 10YCAGR | +26.8% | +12.8% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Materion Corporation (MTRN) valuation, health, and returns.
Materion Corporation is estimated to be overvalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers. overvalued (implying -66.3% downside from DCF intrinsic value of $92.80)
Materion Corporation has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $92.80 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $208.07 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $161.00 (implying -41.5% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Materion Corporation displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 43/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 5.9 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 6.0%.
Materion Corporation pays a 0.2% dividend yield, covered by a 15% payout ratio with 13 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.2% buyback yield.
Materion Corporation's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +6.0% 1Y revenue growth and +1178.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +0.6%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 10 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 75% of recent quarters with a 2-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a -41.5% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Materion Corporation include: -20.7% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.76x market volatility). Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.76x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.