Materion Corporation (MTRN) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$196.46
Price Target
$161.00
Target Range
$161.00 — $161.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E30.8x
Trailing P/E54.9x
Forward PEG0.84
Implied Growth+75.1%
Median Target$161.00
Analyst Spread0.0%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$161
-18.0%
Consensus
$161
-18.0%
Bull Case
$161
-18.0%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 56/100
Bear$33
Base$231
Bull$376
MTRN Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Materion Corporation (MTRN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $161.00, based on estimates from 10 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $196.46, this represents a potential downside of -18.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.09B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $161.00 to a high of $161.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $161.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MTRN trades at a trailing P/E of 54.9x and forward P/E of 30.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.84 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +75.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $231.31, with bear and bull scenarios of $32.78 and $376.43 respectively. Model confidence stands at 56/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside-1.3%
Avg Forward P/E52.7x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MPMP Materials Corp. | $12.9B | $72.65 | $78.25 | +7.7% | Buy | 288.3x | 11 |
 CSTMConstellium SE | $4.5B | $33.33 | $35.67 | +7.0% | Buy | 10.6x | 17 |
 KALUKaiser Aluminum Corporation | $2.9B | $180.42 | $160.00 | -11.3% | Hold | 19.2x | 22 |
 CRSCarpenter Technology Corporation | $22.8B | $458.16 | $474.50 | +3.6% | Buy | 44.4x | 20 |
 ATIATI Inc. | $22.6B | $165.08 | $173.40 | +5.0% | Buy | 38.5x | 29 |
 ESIElement Solutions Inc | $10.8B | $44.24 | $41.29 | -6.7% | Buy | 25.1x | 35 |
 AMGAffiliated Managers Group, Inc. | $8.2B | $306.02 | $331.50 | +8.3% | Buy | 9.2x | 12 |
 AMRKA-Mark Precious Metals, Inc. | $1.2B | $46.72 | $34.00 | -27.2% | Buy | 19.5x | 4 |
 RGLDRoyal Gold, Inc. | $20.0B | $236.88 | $304.80 | +28.7% | Buy | 19.9x | 28 |
 TROXTronox Holdings plc | $1.6B | $10.13 | $7.25 | -28.4% | Buy | — | 17 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonMTRN — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MTRN stock.
What is the MTRN stock price target for 2026?
MTRN's consensus price target is $161, -18.0% below the current price of $196.46. The 10 analysts tracking MTRN see downside risk at present valuations.
Is MTRN a buy, sell, or hold?
MTRN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 10 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $161 implies -18.0% downside from current levels.
Is MTRN stock overvalued or undervalued?
MTRN trades at a forward P/E of 30.8028x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $161 (-18.0% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can MTRN stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $161 for MTRN, while the most conservative target is $161. The consensus of $161 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $376 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover MTRN stock?
MTRN is moderately covered, with 10 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the MTRN stock forecast?
The 12-month MTRN stock forecast based on 10 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $161, with estimates ranging from $161 (bear case) to $161 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $231, with bear/bull scenarios of $33/$376.
What is MTRN's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MTRN's fair value at $231 (base case), with a bear case of $33 and bull case of $376. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 56/100.
What is MTRN's forward P/E ratio?
MTRN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 30.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 54.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy MTRN stock?
Analysts are cautious on MTRN, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $161 (-18.0% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do MTRN price targets vary so much?
MTRN analyst price targets range from $161 to $161, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $161 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $33-$376 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.