MTRN trades 24.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $314.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MTRN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 36.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 10 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 23, 2026, Materion Corporation (MTRN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $314.00, based on estimates from 10 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $253.30, this represents a potential upside of +24.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.27B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $314.00 to a high of $314.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $314.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MTRN trades at a trailing P/E of 70.8x and forward P/E of 36.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.99 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +63.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $86.45, with bear and bull scenarios of $54.46 and $113.91 respectively. Model confidence stands at 43/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MPMP Materials Corp. | $9.1B | $51.04 | $80.70 | +58.1% | Buy | 3725.5x | 14 |
 CSTMConstellium SE | $3.4B | $25.33 | $36.00 | +42.1% | Buy | 6.6x | 17 |
 KALUKaiser Aluminum Corporation | $2.5B | $153.85 | $175.67 | +14.2% | Hold | 11.0x | 23 |
 CRSCarpenter Technology Corporation | $19.9B | $400.02 | $550.60 | +37.6% | Buy | 30.0x | 21 |
 ATIATI Inc. | $25.5B | $186.56 | $248.00 | +32.9% | Buy | 36.9x | 30 |
 ESIElement Solutions Inc | $8.6B | $35.19 | $48.11 | +36.7% | Buy | 19.4x | 35 |
 AMGAffiliated Managers Group, Inc. | $9.5B | $360.28 | $410.00 | +13.8% | Buy | 9.8x | 12 |
 AMRKA-Mark Precious Metals, Inc. | $1.2B | $46.72 | $46.63 | -0.2% | Buy | 19.5x | 4 |
 RGLDRoyal Gold, Inc. | $21.9B | $258.29 | $301.50 | +16.7% | Buy | 24.8x | 28 |
 TROXTronox Holdings plc | $702M | $4.40 | $8.08 | +83.6% | Buy | — | 17 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MTRN stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for MTRN is $314, representing 24.0% upside from the current price of $253.3. With 10 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
MTRN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 10 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $314 implies 24.0% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 36.3263x, MTRN trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $314 (24.0% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $314 for MTRN, while the most conservative target is $314. The consensus of $314 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $114 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MTRN is moderately covered, with 10 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MTRN stock forecast based on 10 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $314, with estimates ranging from $314 (bear case) to $314 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $86, with bear/bull scenarios of $54/$114.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MTRN's fair value at $86 (base case), with a bear case of $54 and bull case of $114. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.
MTRN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 36.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 70.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MTRN, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $314 price target (24.0% upside). 5 of 10 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MTRN analyst price targets range from $314 to $314, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $314 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $54-$114 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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