MODEL VERDICT
New England Realty Associates Limited Partnership (NEN)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA 15 industry peers | $97.52 | +53.0% | 15% | A- | Peer Data |
| Dividend Yield 11 industry peers | $171.13 | +168.4% | 12% | B | Supplementary |
| Industry Median P/E 13 industry peers | $198.35 | +211.1% | 5% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Sales 24 industry peers | $33.56 | -47.4% | 2% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $122.56 | +92.3% | 100% | 85 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 10× | 12× | 14× (Current) | 16× | 18× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (4%) | $46 | $56 | $65 | $74 | $83 |
| Conservative (7%) | $47 | $57 | $66 | $76 | $85 |
| Base Case (10.0%) | $49 | $59 | $69 | $78 | $88 |
| Bull Case (14%) | $51 | $61 | $71 | $81 | $91 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 59.16 | 50.41 | 18.54 | 128.62 | 43.41 |
| EV/EBIT | 30.77 | 27.73 | 21.90 | 47.76 | 8.26 |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.01 | 16.27 | 6.48 | 17.91 | 3.98 |
| P/FCF | 11.94 | 10.14 | 8.03 | 19.86 | 4.43 |
| P/FFO | 10.41 | 9.92 | 3.54 | 17.72 | 4.28 |
| P/AFFO | 12.81 | 9.92 | 3.80 | 23.24 | 7.77 |
| Div Yield | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 3.58 | 3.64 | 2.95 | 3.95 | 0.33 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 14 valuation metrics, the model estimates NEN's fair value at $122.56 vs the current price of $63.75, implying +92.3% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 85/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $122.56 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $83.15 (P10) to $144.17 (P90), with a median of $113.24.
NEN's current P/E of 14.3x compares to the industry median of 44.5x (13 peers in the group). This represents a -67.9% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 59.2x over 5 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
No analyst coverage data is available for NEN.
The model confidence score is 85/100, based on: data completeness (26), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (10). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for NEN.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.