MODEL VERDICT
Enviri Corporation (NVRI)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.54 | $19.64 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.46 | $19.31 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.44 | $19.39 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.43 | $19.55 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.30 | $19.56 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA 6 industry peers | $16.67 | -15.1% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 6 industry peers | $15.17 | -22.7% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV To Revenue 6 industry peers | $75.40 | +284.0% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 6 industry peers | $82.31 | +319.2% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $24.59 | +25.3% | 100% | 54 | UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBIT | 67.93 | 39.14 | 27.16 | 199.54 | 73.86 |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.37 | 11.63 | 8.47 | 29.80 | 7.41 |
| P/FFO | 21.79 | 9.65 | 2.86 | 88.43 | 32.80 |
| P/AFFO | 135.56 | 139.48 | 4.03 | 263.17 | 129.61 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.04 | 1.67 | 0.80 | 4.89 | 1.35 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.66 | 0.65 | 0.23 | 1.52 | 0.46 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 11 valuation metrics, the model estimates NVRI's fair value at $24.59 vs the current price of $19.64, implying +25.3% upside potential. Model verdict: Undervalued. Confidence: 54/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $24.59 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $22.00 (P10) to $41.75 (P90), with a median of $30.30.
NVRI's current P/E of -9.4x compares to the industry median of 33.3x (5 peers in the group). This represents a -128.4% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
9 analysts cover NVRI with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $25.00 (range: $25.00 — $25.00), implying +27.3% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (5), Hold (4), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 54/100, based on: data completeness (12), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: --10 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for NVRI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.