MODEL VERDICT
OptimizeRx Corporation (OPRX)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 25 analyst estimates | $15.26 | +47.4% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 21 industry peers | $5.25 | -49.3% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 21 industry peers | $3.90 | -62.3% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 33 industry peers | $12.74 | +23.1% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 33 industry peers | $12.17 | +17.6% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 21 industry peers | $5.25 | -49.3% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $51.32 | +395.9% | 100% | 67 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 1202.55 | 107.10 | 18.61 | 4577.39 | 2251.19 |
| P/TBV | 33.48 | 12.02 | 3.30 | 145.03 | 54.93 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.68 | 3.06 | 0.76 | 9.25 | 3.44 |
| P/S Ratio | 7.07 | 5.59 | 0.96 | 17.93 | 5.62 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 15 valuation metrics, the model estimates OPRX's fair value at $51.32 vs the current price of $10.35, implying +395.9% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 67/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $51.32 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $9.39 (P10) to $151.45 (P90), with a median of $50.30.
OPRX's current P/E of -9.4x compares to the industry median of 34.1x (12 peers in the group). This represents a -127.6% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
15 analysts cover OPRX with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $23.00 (range: $23.00 — $23.00), implying +122.2% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (11), Hold (4), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 67/100, based on: data completeness (15), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for OPRX.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.