Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN)
Valuation Overview•Is Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Fragile underlying quality score of 40/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street is broadly bullish, projecting solid upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. The company currently dilutes shareholders to fund operations and growth rather than returning capital.
ORN struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (1.4%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $216.3M | +7.0% | +4.4% | +3.7% | +6.2% | |
| EBITDA | $5.0M | — | +38.6% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $4.7M | +251.3% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.12 | +232.8% | — | -37.7% | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$3.6M | -663.0% | -29.1% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Operating Margin | 1.4% | 0.6% | -0.1% | -1.5% |
| Net Margin | 1.0% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -2.3% |
| FCF Margin | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.8% | 0.4% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $-0.00 | $0.05 | — | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.06 | $0.08 | +33.3% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.06 | $0.09 | +50.0% | ||
| Q3'25 | $-0.01 | $0.07 | +800.0% | ||
| Q2'25 | $-0.11 | $0.01 | +109.1% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.15 | $0.16 | +6.7% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.08 | $0.16 | +100.0% | ||
| Q3'24 | $-0.01 | $-0.16 | -1500.0% |
Total return is +80.4% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +55.4%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +59.1% | +49.8% | — |
| 1Y | +80.4% | +55.4% | — |
| 3YCAGR | +84.5% | +62.6% | — |
| 5YCAGR | +23.3% | +9.6% | — |
| 10YCAGR | +11.5% | -2.3% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Orion Group Holdings, Inc. appears Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $11.23 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $17.00 (implying +7.0% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 40/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 3.8 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 4.4%.
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Orion Group Holdings, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +7.0% 1Y revenue growth and +232.8% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +4.4%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 13 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 83% of recent quarters with a 7-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +7.0% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Orion Group Holdings, Inc. include: -31.6% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.99x market volatility). Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.99x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.