MODEL VERDICT
Pro-Dex, Inc. (PDEX)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 28 analyst estimates | $48.79 | +22.9% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 22 industry peers | $58.98 | +48.6% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Industry Median P/E 18 industry peers | $89.64 | +125.8% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 22 industry peers | $89.86 | +126.3% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| Peg Ratio 11 industry peers | $59.44 | +49.7% | 5% | B | Data |
| EV To Revenue 37 industry peers | $65.37 | +64.7% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 38 industry peers | $64.86 | +63.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 18 industry peers | $97.12 | +144.6% | 2% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $66.91 | +68.5% | 100% | 74 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 11× | 13× | 15× (Current) | 17× | 19× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (5%) | $31 | $36 | $42 | $48 | $53 |
| Conservative (8%) | $32 | $37 | $43 | $49 | $55 |
| Base Case (12.2%) | $33 | $39 | $45 | $51 | $57 |
| Bull Case (17%) | $34 | $40 | $47 | $53 | $59 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.82 | 18.09 | 8.98 | 77.92 | 23.79 |
| EV/EBIT | 19.16 | 14.48 | 7.59 | 55.72 | 16.43 |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.11 | 13.29 | 11.42 | 21.35 | 3.68 |
| P/FCF | 27.25 | 27.85 | 14.20 | 39.13 | 10.75 |
| P/FFO | 19.32 | 16.45 | 8.03 | 50.79 | 14.37 |
| P/TBV | 4.01 | 3.61 | 2.02 | 6.68 | 1.65 |
| P/AFFO | 25.93 | 20.50 | 9.16 | 72.46 | 21.24 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.99 | 3.59 | 2.02 | 6.63 | 1.64 |
| P/S Ratio | 2.35 | 2.17 | 1.38 | 3.63 | 0.85 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 21 valuation metrics, the model estimates PDEX's fair value at $66.91 vs the current price of $39.70, implying +68.5% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 74/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $66.91 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $52.18 (P10) to $74.82 (P90), with a median of $63.14.
PDEX's current P/E of 14.9x compares to the industry median of 33.6x (18 peers in the group). This represents a -55.7% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 24.8x over 7 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
1 analysts cover PDEX with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is N/A (range: N/A — N/A), implying N/A upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (1), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 74/100, based on: data completeness (21), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for PDEX.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.