MODEL VERDICT
Quipt Home Medical Corp. (QIPT)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA 38 industry peers | $20.21 | +467.7% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 39 industry peers | $17.60 | +394.4% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 40 industry peers | $18.91 | +431.2% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 78 industry peers | $20.81 | +484.6% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 78 industry peers | $21.20 | +495.5% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 40 industry peers | $17.70 | +397.2% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $16.31 | +358.2% | 100% | 70 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBIT | 170.64 | 57.48 | 39.56 | 414.89 | 211.72 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.40 | 7.14 | 3.82 | 12.41 | 3.10 |
| P/FCF | 8.73 | 8.81 | 5.17 | 12.51 | 2.86 |
| P/FFO | 8.24 | 6.29 | 2.96 | 14.71 | 4.56 |
| P/TBV | 6.10 | 5.58 | 5.42 | 7.81 | 1.15 |
| P/AFFO | 11.62 | 9.37 | 3.87 | 26.01 | 7.65 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.55 | 2.20 | 1.21 | 4.28 | 1.24 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.09 | 1.01 | 0.53 | 1.67 | 0.44 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 15 valuation metrics, the model estimates QIPT's fair value at $16.31 vs the current price of $3.56, implying +358.2% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 70/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $16.31 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $11.66 (P10) to $18.36 (P90), with a median of $14.94.
QIPT's current P/E of -14.2x compares to the industry median of 36.2x (28 peers in the group). This represents a -139.4% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
2 analysts cover QIPT with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $3.65 (range: $3.65 — $3.65), implying +2.5% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (1), Hold (1), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 70/100, based on: data completeness (18), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for QIPT.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.