MODEL VERDICT
QuickLogic Corporation (QUIK)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 87 industry peers | $8.02 | +11.4% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 87 industry peers | $6.64 | -7.8% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $7.05 | -2.0% | 100% | 53 | FAIRLY VALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 6.73 | 6.77 | 3.55 | 13.22 | 3.50 |
| P/B Ratio | 5.65 | 5.44 | 2.97 | 11.04 | 2.79 |
| P/S Ratio | 5.64 | 4.65 | 4.00 | 8.80 | 1.97 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates QUIK's fair value at $7.05 vs the current price of $7.20, implying -2.0% downside potential. Model verdict: Fairly Valued. Confidence: 53/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $7.05 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $3.74 (P10) to $11.05 (P90), with a median of $7.32.
QUIK's current P/E of -27.7x compares to the industry median of 45.7x (46 peers in the group). This represents a -160.6% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
4 analysts cover QUIK with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $11.00 (range: $11.00 — $11.00), implying +52.8% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (4), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 53/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (7). Cyclicality penalty: --10 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for QUIK.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.