Intrinsic Value Overview
Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT)
Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) intrinsic value summary: current price $5.96, fair value N/A, N/A implied move via DCF and relative valuation.
Method Breakdown
Base blend: 60% DCF + 40% RelativeCompany Quality
Weak fundamentals — significant concerns
Wall St Estimates
Shareholder Returns
Returns capital via buybacks — no dividend
Total Return vs S&P 500
Fundamental Analysis
Profitability & Financial HealthProfitability
Returns & MarginsSolvency
Financial HealthGrowth & Margins
Quarterly Trends · 5-Year Window · Hover for detailPiotroski F-Score
Fundamental QualityMonte Carlo Distribution & Risk
10,000 SimulationsAnnual Returns vs SPY
Total Return (Price + Dividends)| Year | Stock Return | SPY Return | Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026YTD | -14.9% | +0.4% | -15.3% |
| 2025Worst | -92.0% | +16.6% | -108.7% |
| 2024 | -25.0% | +24.0% | -49.0% |
| 2023 | -14.5% | +24.8% | -39.3% |
| 2022 | -36.6% | -19.9% | -16.7% |
| 2021Best | +9.8% | +28.8% | -19.0% |
| 2020 | +0.2% | +15.1% | -14.9% |
Frequently Asked Questions
ValuationIs SEAT a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our multi-model analysis of Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) at $5.96: Fundamental quality score: 34/100 (below average). This is a quantitative summary combining DCF intrinsic value, peer-based relative valuation, quality scoring, and analyst consensus — not a buy/sell recommendation. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.
ValuationWhat is Vivid Seats Inc.'s fair value?
Fair value data is not yet available for SEAT.
QualityIs SEAT financially healthy?
Vivid Seats Inc.'s financial health as measured by our composite scoring: Overall quality score: 34/100. Piotroski F-Score: 5/9 (moderate). Altman Z-Score: -0.8 (distress zone — elevated risk). Return on invested capital: 4.2%. Cash conversion (OCF/NI): 5.72x (earnings are cash-backed). The quality score blends profitability (ROIC, ROE, margins), solvency (leverage, coverage, Z-Score), and growth trajectory into a single 0–100 framework updated end-of-day.
PerformanceHow has SEAT performed compared to the S&P 500?
Vivid Seats Inc.'s performance profile: 1-year total return: -92.8%. 1-year alpha vs S&P 500: -108.3% (underperforming the benchmark). 5-year CAGR: -44.7%. Maximum drawdown (1Y): -93.3%. Relative Strength rating: 8/99 (weak momentum). Beta: 1.54 (more volatile than the market). Total returns include reinvested dividends. Alpha is calculated against the S&P 500 Total Return Index over matching periods.
IncomeDoes SEAT pay dividends?
Vivid Seats Inc. does not currently pay a dividend. The company returns capital to shareholders via share buybacks, with a buyback yield of 100.0% and a 1-year share count change of +5.2%. Total shareholder yield (including buybacks): 100.0%.
EstimatesWhat do Wall Street analysts say about SEAT?
No analyst coverage data available for SEAT.
RiskWhat are the key risks of investing in SEAT?
Key risks identified for Vivid Seats Inc.: Drawdown risk: The stock experienced a -93.3% max drawdown in the past year. Volatility risk: Beta of 1.54 indicates significantly higher volatility than the broad market. Solvency risk: Altman Z-Score (-0.8) is in the distress zone, indicating elevated bankruptcy risk. Note: This model does not capture regulatory changes, management decisions, competitive disruption, or geopolitical events. Macro and qualitative risks remain material and should be assessed independently.
LegalDoes this dashboard provide investment advice?
No. This overview dashboard aggregates data from our DCF intrinsic value model, relative peer multiples model, proprietary estimates engine, and third-party analyst consensus feeds. It is strictly for educational and informational purposes. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, quality scores, and signals are automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as investment recommendations. Consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.