Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML)
Valuation Overview•Is Sigma Lithium Corporation Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Fragile underlying quality score of 20/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Highly distressed profile flashing severe fundamental warning signs.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. The company currently retains all capital for reinvestment and growth rather than returning it to shareholders.
SGML struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company maintains stable top-line performance paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (0.6%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $41.8M | -47.3% | — | — | — | |
| EBITDA | $22.1M | — | +73.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $11.0M | +28.3% | +18.8% | — | -84.6% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.10 | +28.6% | — | — | -2.8% | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$5.3M | +82.2% | +54.2% | -17.5% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 27.0% | 29.0% | 29.0% | 29.0% |
| Operating Margin | 0.6% | -8.7% | -8.7% | -8.7% |
| Net Margin | -42.2% | -33.4% | -33.4% | -33.4% |
| FCF Margin | -8.1% | -20.8% | -20.8% | -20.8% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.10 | $0.10 | +0.0% | ||
| Q1'26 | $-0.12 | $-0.22 | -83.3% | ||
| Q4'25 | $-0.07 | $-0.10 | -50.0% | ||
| Q3'25 | $-0.08 | $-0.17 | -112.5% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.01 | $0.04 | +300.0% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.06 | $-0.08 | -233.3% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.09 | $-0.23 | -355.6% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.13 | $-0.10 | -176.9% |
Total return is +176.3% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +151.3%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -3.9% | -13.2% | — |
| 1Y | +176.3% | +151.3% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -29.6% | -47.3% | — |
| 5YCAGR | +24.1% | +13.6% | — |
| 10YCAGR | +24.9% | +12.2% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) valuation, health, and returns.
Sigma Lithium Corporation is estimated to be fairly valued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Limited: Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers. trading near fair value (DCF: $0.00)
Sigma Lithium Corporation has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $0.00 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $1.64 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $18.00 (implying +31.9% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Sigma Lithium Corporation displays weak financial health with a composite quality score of 20/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 2.0 (grey zone), Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -3.5%.
Sigma Lithium Corporation does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Sigma Lithium Corporation's current growth trajectory is Stable. The company achieved -47.3% 1Y revenue growth and +28.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 3 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 8% of recent quarters with a -4-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +31.9% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Sigma Lithium Corporation include: -45.5% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.81x market volatility). Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.81x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.