MODEL VERDICT
Shimmick Corporation Common Stock (SHIM)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 33 analyst estimates | $2.21 | -47.8% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV To Revenue 35 industry peers | $32.80 | +675.4% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 35 industry peers | $27.42 | +548.2% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $7.07 | +67.2% | 100% | 38 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/S Ratio | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 0.26 | 0.09 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 8 valuation metrics, the model estimates SHIM's fair value at $7.07 vs the current price of $4.23, implying +67.2% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 38/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $7.07 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $6.05 (P10) to $10.61 (P90), with a median of $8.33.
SHIM's current P/E of -1.0x compares to the industry median of 49.1x (25 peers in the group). This represents a -102.1% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
2 analysts cover SHIM with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $6.00 (range: $6.00 — $6.00), implying +41.8% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (0), Hold (2), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 38/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (10), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: --10 points. The model shows weak agreement across inputs — interpret with caution.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for SHIM.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.