MODEL VERDICT
SLB N.V. (SLB)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.27 | $56.92 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.27 | $56.14 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.28 | $52.66 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.29 | $52.42 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.27 | $51.92 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 6 analyst estimates | $62.48 | +9.8% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 8 industry peers | $42.63 | -25.1% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Industry Median P/E 7 industry peers | $62.00 | +8.9% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 6 industry peers | $63.59 | +11.7% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 7 industry peers | $64.41 | +13.2% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 6 industry peers | $63.83 | +12.1% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 8 industry peers | $36.58 | -35.7% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 8 industry peers | $35.82 | -37.1% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 7 industry peers | $60.94 | +7.1% | 2% | B | Data |
| FCF Yield 7 industry peers | $62.50 | +9.8% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $56.57 | -0.6% | 100% | 94 | FAIRLY VALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 20× | 22× | 24× (Current) | 26× | 28× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (4%) | $49 | $54 | $59 | $64 | $68 |
| Conservative (7%) | $50 | $55 | $60 | $65 | $70 |
| Base Case (10.0%) | $52 | $57 | $62 | $67 | $72 |
| Bull Case (14%) | $53 | $59 | $64 | $69 | $75 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.32 | 17.88 | 12.33 | 22.69 | 4.35 |
| EV/EBIT | 14.96 | 14.55 | 10.28 | 18.94 | 3.70 |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.01 | 12.35 | 7.74 | 22.59 | 4.86 |
| P/FCF | 17.85 | 16.02 | 11.91 | 38.32 | 9.32 |
| P/FFO | 11.82 | 11.92 | 8.68 | 15.03 | 2.33 |
| P/TBV | 26.40 | 18.61 | 10.37 | 53.28 | 18.69 |
| P/AFFO | 17.77 | 17.77 | 13.06 | 22.63 | 3.59 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.84 | 2.46 | 2.09 | 4.27 | 0.78 |
| Div Yield | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.85 | 1.69 | 1.29 | 2.73 | 0.50 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 26 valuation metrics, the model estimates SLB's fair value at $56.57 vs the current price of $56.92, implying -0.6% downside potential. Model verdict: Fairly Valued. Confidence: 94/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $56.57 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $50.27 (P10) to $61.77 (P90), with a median of $55.87.
SLB's current P/E of 24.2x compares to the industry median of 26.4x (7 peers in the group). This represents a -8.2% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 18.3x over 5 years. Signal: Fair Value.
66 analysts cover SLB with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $56.95 (range: $48.00 — $65.00), implying +0.1% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (56), Hold (6), Sell (4), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 94/100, based on: data completeness (27), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (12), and model agreement (10). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Multiple compression: SLB trades at the 4190th percentile of its historical P/E range. A reversion to median (18.3×) would imply significant downside. (2) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk refers to the possibility that SLB's current profitability is above its sustainable long-term trend. The model detects a margin Z-score of +0.6σ, meaning margins are 0.6 standard deviations above their historical average. If margins revert to the 5-year mean (0.5%), the model estimates fair value drops by 9600.0% to approximately $2. This isn't a prediction — it's a scenario analysis.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.