MODEL VERDICT
Soluna Holdings, Inc. (SLNH)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 50 industry peers | $1.75 | +66.7% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 50 industry peers | $1.84 | +75.2% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $2.76 | +162.5% | 100% | 57 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 15.69 | 19.94 | 3.96 | 23.18 | 10.29 |
| P/FCF | 30.16 | 31.23 | 4.02 | 55.24 | 25.63 |
| P/FFO | 13.61 | 15.69 | 3.77 | 21.36 | 8.98 |
| P/TBV | 3.91 | 1.68 | 0.20 | 13.54 | 4.95 |
| P/AFFO | 22.49 | 19.67 | 3.95 | 43.86 | 20.10 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.40 | 1.40 | 0.08 | 7.63 | 2.80 |
| Div Yield | 0.51 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.99 | 0.49 |
| P/S Ratio | 12.93 | 0.98 | 0.14 | 75.85 | 27.92 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates SLNH's fair value at $2.76 vs the current price of $1.05, implying +162.5% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 57/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $2.76 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $1.05 (P10) to $5.73 (P90), with a median of $2.58.
SLNH's current P/E of -1.3x compares to the industry median of 42.6x (33 peers in the group). This represents a -103.1% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 15.7x over 3 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
1 analysts cover SLNH with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $5.00 (range: $5.00 — $5.00), implying +376.2% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (1), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 57/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for SLNH.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.