MODEL VERDICT
SLR Investment Corp. (SLRC)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.34 | $15.85 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.32 | $15.70 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.30 | $16.13 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.28 | $16.13 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.71 | $15.01 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Median P/E 12 industry peers | $16.20 | +2.2% | 30% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Book 12 industry peers | $15.59 | -1.6% | 25% | B | Model Driven |
| Price / Tangible Book 12 bank peers | $15.59 | -1.6% | 20% | B+ | Bank Primary |
| Dividend Yield 11 industry peers | $0.03 | -99.8% | 10% | B | Supplementary |
| Earnings Yield 12 industry peers | $16.20 | +2.2% | 8% | B | Data |
| Forward P/E 11 analyst estimates | $13.83 | -12.7% | 7% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $16.79 | +5.9% | 100% | 83 | SLIGHTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 5× | 7× | 9× (Current) | 11× | 13× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (14%) | $10 | $14 | $17 | $21 | $25 |
| Conservative (23%) | $10 | $15 | $19 | $23 | $27 |
| Base Case (35.7%) | $12 | $16 | $21 | $25 | $30 |
| Bull Case (48%) | $13 | $18 | $23 | $28 | $33 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.66 | 13.07 | 9.09 | 47.32 | 15.93 |
| EV/EBIT | 32.91 | 21.29 | 12.30 | 75.05 | 26.09 |
| EV/EBITDA | 32.87 | 21.29 | 12.07 | 75.05 | 26.12 |
| P/FCF | 6.06 | 5.63 | 4.67 | 7.89 | 1.66 |
| P/TBV | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.72 | 0.96 | 0.08 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.72 | 0.96 | 0.08 |
| Div Yield | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| P/S Ratio | 7.88 | 7.84 | 3.83 | 14.58 | 3.69 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 17 valuation metrics, the model estimates SLRC's fair value at $16.79 vs the current price of $15.85, implying +5.9% upside potential. Model verdict: Slightly Undervalued. Confidence: 83/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $16.79 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $12.38 (P10) to $21.48 (P90), with a median of $16.79.
SLRC's current P/E of 9.3x compares to the industry median of 9.5x (12 peers in the group). This represents a -2.1% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is 20.7x over 7 years. Signal: Fair Value.
15 analysts cover SLRC with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $16.25 (range: $16.00 — $16.50), implying +2.5% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (9), Hold (4), Sell (2), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 83/100, based on: data completeness (30), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk refers to the possibility that SLRC's current profitability is above its sustainable long-term trend. The model detects a margin Z-score of -0.3σ, meaning margins are 0.3 standard deviations below their historical average. If margins revert to the 7-year mean (45.5%), the model estimates fair value drops by 13990.0% to approximately $38. This isn't a prediction — it's a scenario analysis.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.