MODEL VERDICT
Sanara MedTech Inc. (SMTI)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 28 analyst estimates | $9.74 | -51.1% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV To Revenue 37 industry peers | $37.36 | +87.6% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 38 industry peers | $36.32 | +82.3% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $19.44 | -2.4% | 100% | 58 | FAIRLY VALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 36.09 | 8.53 | 6.15 | 104.34 | 43.30 |
| P/B Ratio | 12.99 | 7.24 | 5.37 | 49.00 | 15.92 |
| P/S Ratio | 6.82 | 5.24 | 1.12 | 18.36 | 5.80 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 8 valuation metrics, the model estimates SMTI's fair value at $19.44 vs the current price of $19.92, implying -2.4% downside potential. Model verdict: Fairly Valued. Confidence: 58/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $19.44 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $13.19 (P10) to $25.78 (P90), with a median of $19.17.
SMTI's current P/E of -17.5x compares to the industry median of 33.6x (18 peers in the group). This represents a -152.0% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
3 analysts cover SMTI with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $54.00 (range: $54.00 — $54.00), implying +171.1% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (3), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 58/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for SMTI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.