MODEL VERDICT
Sohu.com Limited (SOHU)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.62 | $15.70 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.62 | $15.72 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.62 | $15.70 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.62 | $14.97 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.62 | $15.02 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 7 industry peers | $34.33 | +118.7% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 7 industry peers | $32.69 | +108.2% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $26.83 | +70.9% | 100% | 58 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.71 | 10.24 | 3.85 | 57.03 | 29.03 |
| P/FFO | 14.33 | 8.01 | 0.67 | 34.33 | 17.70 |
| P/TBV | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.64 | 0.10 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.61 | 0.10 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 0.84 | 0.15 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates SOHU's fair value at $26.83 vs the current price of $15.70, implying +70.9% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 58/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $26.83 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $18.71 (P10) to $40.32 (P90), with a median of $29.46.
SOHU's current P/E of -5.0x compares to the industry median of 13.4x (6 peers in the group). This represents a -137.5% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
18 analysts cover SOHU with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $20.00 (range: $20.00 — $20.00), implying +27.4% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (6), Hold (10), Sell (2), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 58/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for SOHU.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.