Ctrl K
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX)
Valuation Overview•Is Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Overvalued or Undervalued?
The market is pricing the stock in line with historical averages, assuming steady-state growth.
Fragile underlying quality score of 33/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Confirm your valuation thesis with live pattern overlays, key pivot levels, and AI trade plans.
Verdict: Mixed fundamental profile with offsetting strengths and weaknesses.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside. However, capital return yields remain modest, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
SPCX struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($1.9B) and minimal debt risk.
The company maintains stable top-line performance paired with stable bottom-line earnings.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.8B | +33.2% | — | — | — | |
| EBITDA | $111.0M | — | — | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$541.0M | -724.1% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.09 | — | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$15.9B | -159.0% | — | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | — | 46.2% | 46.2% | 46.2% |
| Operating Margin | — | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| Net Margin | — | -10.4% | -10.4% | -10.4% |
| FCF Margin | — | -56.6% | -56.6% | -56.6% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26Latest | $-0.23 | $-0.09 | +60.1% | ||
| Q2'26 | — | $-1.19 | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.2x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) valuation, health, and returns.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. valuation is being assessed using available models.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. has multiple valuation anchors: Wall Street Analyst Target: $207.00 (implying +34.9% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. displays weak financial health with a composite quality score of 33/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 12.9 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -5.7%.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp.'s current growth trajectory is Stable. The company achieved +33.2% 1Y revenue growth and N/A 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 10 analysts. The consensus price target represents a +34.9% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. include: -46.3% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.00x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.